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System Quality Assurance

How would the inspection and technical review processes, if implemented properly, have addressed the issues that caused a failure of the LAS CAD rollout? Give one specific example. Do not just state that more review would have averted a problem. Provide a more detailed response.

LAS CAD: London Ambulance Service computer-aided despatch system

FACTS:

The London Ambulance Project arose from a need to increase performance and reliability of a service which had an extremely large, complex task to execute. The organisation of the service had remained largely stagnant for 10 years and had been demoralised by a debilitating industrial relations dispute. The project attempted to introduce a computerised system to receive emergency calls and send ambulance crews to required destinations. At the same time, new techniques were introduced to monitor the location and availability of the emergency services.

 
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According to the traditional Western concept of God, God is omniscient—that is, God is all-knowing. But does God’s knowledge leave any room for free will? Many people believe it does not. If God is all-knowing, they claim, then humans cannot be free. Here is how they argue: 1. Suppose God is all-knowing. 2. If God is all-knowing, then God knows what I will do in the future. 3. God cannot be wrong, so if God knows what I will do in the future, then it has to happen. 4. So what I will do in the future has to happen. 5. But if what I will do in the future has to happen, then I am not free to do anything else. 6. So I am not free—I am not able to do anything other than what God now knows I will do. But this conclusion is distressing to believers. For if our actions are not free, then we cannot be held responsible for them. That is, I cannot be blamed for doing something if I was not able to do anything else. But if we can’t be blamed for anything we do, then what of traditional doctrines of heaven and hell? How can we be punished for something if we couldn’t do anything else? How can we “repent” if we never had the ability to avoid any sinful action? How can I be blamed for what I had no power to change? To avoid these conclusions, believers have rejected one or more of the premises of the preceding argument. Some reject point 1 and say God is not all-knowing—his knowledge is limited. Others reject point 2 and say God does not know now what I will do in the future because I have not yet decided what I will do and God leaves me free to decide what I will do. Others reject point 3 and say that God can be wrong because God is a fallible God. But, obviously, none of these options is very attractive to the believer. QUESTIONS 1. If you are a believer, do you agree with the preceding argument? If you don’t agree with it, which premise do you think you should reject? 2. Suppose that instead of “God,” the preceding argument was about a supercomputer that knew everything that would happen in the future and was infallible. Assuming such a supercomputer is possible, would the argument still work?

 

 
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Two recent scientific studies suggest that people have innate ideas that are not learned through sense experience but are present from birth. One study by Perin, Berger, and Markram, examined how neurons are organized in the brains of newborns. Neurons are brain cells that process, transmit, and preserve thoughts and information. Scientists believe that neurons represent or “encode” information or thoughts by forming circuits that connect them with each other. According to the authors, “neuronal circuitry is often considered a clean slate that can be… arbitrarily molded by experience.” In other words, scientists believed that at birth the brain contained no encoded information, and that whatever information brain neurons encoded after birth came from sense experiences. However, the study discovered that many neurons are already connected in small networks from birth. The study concluded that “experience cannot freely mold” all the neurons of the brain, because from birth the brain contains “neuronal groups that . . . emerged during embryonic development independent of experience.” In short, these small networks of neurons seem to represent innate concepts that are present in the brain from birth and independent of sense experience. The second study, by Hespos and vanMarle, reviewed earlier research on the concepts babies seem to have. The study states: We review how object and substance knowledge interfaces with number knowledge systems [in infants]. The evidence supports the view that certain core principles about these domains are present as early as we can test for them and the nature of the underlying representation is best characterized as primitive intial concepts that are elaborated and refined through learning and experience. . . . Infants have detailed knowledge about how objects behave and interact from the first weeks of life. According to the authors, experiments with babies as young as two months suggest they possess such “initial concepts.” How do scientists know what babies are thinking? Scientists rely on the expressions on babies’ faces and on other responses babies make when they see physical objects being manipulated by the scientists. For example, when babies are shown a ball rolling behind a small screen and coming out on the other side, they show very little reaction and very soon look away from the scene. Apparently such a scene conforms with their knowledge of how physical objects behave. But when they are shown a ball rolling behind a small screen and not coming out the other side, babies seem surprised, they stare at the screen for a long time, and then perhaps look behind the screen for the missing ball. Such experiments have shown that babies know that physical objects continue to exist even when they are not seen, and know that physical objects don’t just blink out of existence. Other similar experiments have shown that babies know what a physical object is, know that physical objects continue to exist even when one is not looking at them, know that two physical objects cannot occupy the same space at the same time, and know that physical objects cannot pass through each other. Babies also know that liquid substances do not behave like physical objects, that liquids can separate, and that objects (like a straw) can pass through them. Finally, babies seem to have some knowledge of small numbers—for example, they know the difference between one cookie, two cookies, and three cookies (they prefer the larger quantity!). QUESTIONS 1. Do these studies show that babies have the kind of innate ideas that Descartes, Plato, and other rationalists had in mind? 2. Do you see any similarities between the claims Descartes makes about his wax example and the findings of these studies?

 

 
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An investment company manages portfolios of stocks, bonds, and other investment alternatives. One of the company’s clients would like to invest $200,000 in stocks. The client is interested in four specific stocks – A, B, C, and/or D. The company gathered the following relevant financial data for the four stocks:

Stock A

Stock B

Stock C

Stock D

Price per share

$100

$50

$80

$40

Annual rate of return

0.12

0.08

0.06

0.10

Risk measure per dollar invested

0.10

0.07

0.05

0.08

Based on the above data, the investor has stipulated the following investment guidelines:

1. The entire amount of $200,000 must be invested.

2. The annual rate of return must be at least 9% of the invested capital of $200,000.

3. Not every stock has to be purchased, however, if selected, no one stock can account for more than 50% of the total dollar investment.

4. The total investment in stocks A and B combined must be equal to or greater than the total investment in stocks C and D combined.

question:

Q4. (30 p.) Suppose the investor decides that the annual rate of return no longer has to be at least 9% and agrees to a minimum level of 8%. What does the shadow price associated with this constraint indicate about a possible change in total risk that could occur from this lower rate of return? Show the relevant portion of the Solver’s output. Fully interpret the results.

 
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