Tiffany Case

I’d like someone who is expert in internctional finance to write me 3 pages of thoes questions THIS PAPER NEEDS TO BE DONE BY A MASTER DEGREE HOLDER

1- 1.       If you identified more than one foreign exchange risk, which is the most important?

 

1.       2- Should Tiffany actively manage exchange rate exposure?  What exposures should be actively managed?  What should the objectives be?

1.       3-Will hedging foreign exchange risk create value for shareholders?

2.       4-Consider which direction of the dollar-yen exchange rate is beneficial, and which is harmful to Tiffany & Co,

 

3.       Pay careful attention to the various hedging instruments’ terms and quoting conventions in applying the instruments to the case. I.e., yen options are quoted in 100ths of a cent per yen and the contract size is Yen 6,250,000.

Harvard Business School 9-295-047 Rev. June 9, 1995

Research Associate Kendall Backstrand wrote this case under the supervision of Professor W. Carl Kester as the basis for class discussion rather than to illustrate either effective or ineffective handling of an administrative situation.

Copyright © 1994 by the President and Fellows of Harvard College. To order copies or request permission to reproduce materials, call 1-800-545-7685, write Harvard Business School Publishing, Boston, MA 02163, or go to http://www.hbsp.harvard.edu. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, used in a spreadsheet, or transmitted in any form or by any means—electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise—without the permission of Harvard Business School.

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Tiffany & Co.—1993

In July 1993, Tiffany & Company concluded an agreement with its Japanese distributor, Mitsukoshi Limited, that would fundamentally change its business in Japan. Under the new agreement, Tiffany’s wholly owned subsidiary, Tiffany & Co. Japan Inc. (“Tiffany-Japan”), assumed management responsibilities in the operation of 29 Tiffany & Co. boutiques previously operated by Mitsukoshi in its stores and other locations in Japan. Tiffany looked forward to the new arrangement, as it was now responsible for millions of dollars in inventory that it previously sold wholesale to Mitsukoshi, resulting in enhanced revenues in Japan derived from higher retail prices. It was also apparent, however, that yen/dollar exchange rate fluctuations would now affect the dollar value of its Japanese sales, which would be realized in yen. Since Japanese sales were large and still growing, it seemed evident such fluctuations could have a substantial impact on Tiffany’s future financial performance.

Company Background

Founded in New York in 1837, Tiffany & Co. was an internationally renowned retailer, designer, manufacturer, and distributor of luxury goods. The famous blue-box company found its initial success in fine jewelry, most notably diamonds, but had since expanded its product line to include timepieces, china, crystal, silverware, and other luxury accessories. In the fiscal year ending January 31, 1993 (FY 1992), Tiffany earned $15.7 million on revenues of $486.4 million, and had total assets of $419.4 million. Recent financial statements are provided in Exhibits 1 and 2. An historical summary of operations is provided in Exhibit 3.

After more than a century of independence, Tiffany was acquired by Avon Products, Inc. in 1979. For the next several years Avon, a nationwide door-to-door cosmetics marketer, worked to expand Tiffany’s product line to reach beyond its traditional affluent customer base to the larger middle market. While this diversification strategy resulted in enhanced sales for Tiffany from $84 million in 1979 to $124 million in 1983, operating expenses as a percentage of sales grew inordinately from 34% to 43% in 1978 and 1983, respectively. Avon soon realized that Tiffany’s traditional market niche was substantially different than its own, and in 1984 decided to put the company up for sale. The most attractive offer came from Tiffany’s own management, who agreed to buy back Tiffany’s equity and the Fifth Avenue store building for a total of $135.5 million. In what ultimately took the form of a leveraged buyout (LBO), the terms of the deal distributed virtually all of the equity shares to three key investor groups. Management ended up with 20% of total equity shares. Investcorp, the

For the exclusive use of R. Sleinsky, 2016.

This document is authorized for use only by Rachel Sleinsky in International Financial Management taught by John King, Cleveland State University from January 2016 to May 2016.

 

 

295-047 Tiffany & Co.—1993

2

Bahrain and London-based merchant bank that backed management in the deal, received 49.8% of total equity shares. The third player, General Electric Credit Corporation (GECC), ended up with 25.7% of total equity shares. It was through an $85 million credit arrangement with GECC that management was able to refinance a substantial portion of the purchase price.1

The aftermath of the leveraged buyout was marked by very tight free cash flow coupled with significant growth potential on the horizon. After the company had once again become profitable and realizing that the company’s growth prospects demanded more cash than could be generated internally, in 1987 management offered Tiffany stock to the public at approximately $15 a share (adjusted for a subsequent stock split). In 1989, Mitsukoshi purchased 1.5 million shares of Tiffany’s common stock from GECC.2 As of January 31, 1993, Mitsukoshi owned approximately 14% of Tiffany stock, the largest percentage of any single institutional investor. Three other institutional investors collectively owned approximately 26% of the stock, followed by all Tiffany executive officers and directors as a group at 4.9%.

In 1993, Tiffany was organized into three distribution channels: U.S. Retail, Direct Marketing, and International Retail. U.S. Retail included retail sales in Tiffany-operated stores in the United States and wholesale sales to independent retailers in North America. The 16 stores in this channel accounted for 50% of total sales in FY 1992. Direct Marketing, representing the smallest channel of distribution, consisted of corporate and catalog sales. In FY 1992, its sales represented 18% of Tiffany’s total sales. International Retail accounted for 32% of total sales in FY 1992, including retail sales through Tiffany-operated stores and boutiques, corporate sales, and wholesale sales to independent retailers and distributors, primarily in the Far East and Europe. Jewelry sales from all three channels accounted for 65% of 1993 sales, making jewelry the most significant product line. Exhibit 4 provides financial results of Tiffany’s domestic and foreign operations.

The past several years for Tiffany were marked by a trend of international expansion, beginning in 1986 when it opened a flagship retail store in London. Additional flagship stores were then opened in Munich and Zurich in 1987 and 1988, respectively. In 1990, the Zurich store was expanded. Stores in Hong Kong at the Peninsula Hotel and at the Landmark Center were opened in August 1988 and March 1989, respectively. Taipei saw the opening of a store in 1990, as did Singapore (at the Raffles Hotel), Frankfurt, and Toronto in 1991. Also in 1991, the London store was expanded. In 1992, Tiffany opened five new boutiques in Japan, and two new boutiques were opened by an independent retailer in Korea. Early 1993 saw continued international growth, with the opening of two more boutiques in Japan, a second store in Singapore’s Ngee Ann City, two boutiques by independent retailers in Saipan and the Philippines, and the expansion of the Peninsula hotel store in Hong Kong.

Exhibit 5 shows the growth in the number of Tiffany stores and boutiques around the world from 31 to 79, implying a 250% increase from 1987 to 1993. These 79 retail locations included 16 stores in the United States, 56 stores in the Far East, six stores in Europe and one store in Canada, all of which ranged in size from 700 to 13,000 gross square feet, with a total of approximately 127,000 gross square feet devoted to retail purposes.

Tiffany’s worldwide capital expenditures were $22.8 million in FY 1992, compared with $41.4 million in FY 1991. These expenditures were primarily for the opening of new stores and boutiques, and the expansion of existing stores. Management anticipated capital expenditures to drop further to $18.0 million in FY 1993 before rebounding to approximately $25.0 million in FY 1994. Management

 

1 This included a $75 million secured revolving credit facility, a $10 million, 16% subordinated note due in 1992, and common stock warrants to purchase approximately 25% of the company’s equity on a fully diluted basis. 2 Prior to Mitsukoshi’s purchase of Tiffany’s common stock from GECC, Tiffany and Mitsukoshi entered into an agreement by which Mitsukoshi agreed not to purchase in excess of 19.99% of Tiffany’s issued and outstanding common shares. This agreement would expire on September 21, 1994.

For the exclusive use of R. Sleinsky, 2016.

This document is authorized for use only by Rachel Sleinsky in International Financial Management taught by John King, Cleveland State University from January 2016 to May 2016.

 

 

Tiffany & Co.—1993 295-047

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also expected to open 4 or 5 new stores per year in the foreseeable future.3 To support future expansion plans, as well as fluctuations in seasonal working capital needs, management planned to rely upon internally generated funds and a $100 million non-collateralized revolving credit facility available at interest rates based upon Eurodollar rates, a prime rate, certificate of deposit rates, or money market rates.4 As in the past, cash dividends were expected to be maintained at a relatively moderate level that would permit the company to retain a majority of its earnings.

Impetus for Change in the Japanese Operations

While Tiffany found new market potential across the globe, nowhere was it as promising as in Japan where Tiffany’s sales accounted for only 1% of the $20 billion Japanese jewelry market. The thriving Japanese economy of the late 1980s and very early 1990s stimulated a booming demand for certain types of expensive and glamorous western goods. Among these were Tiffany products, principally those of the fine jewelry line marketed toward older women. However, as the Japanese economy finally slowed and Japanese consumers became more cautious in their spending, the demand for Tiffany’s luxury items also slumped. In response to soft consumer demand in Japan, Mitsukoshi cut back on Tiffany inventory levels. Mitsukoshi’s wholesale purchases from Tiffany- Japan declined from 23% of Tiffany’s total sales in FY 1991 to 15% in FY 1992. Declining wholesale shipments were also accompanied by a small decline in gross margin from 49.4% in FY 1991 to 48.7% in FY 1992. Despite lackluster consumer demand in the first half of FY 1993, however, Tiffany continued to believe that Japanese sales had attractive long-run growth potential. It was for this reason that Tiffany sought greater control over its future in Japan and ultimately decided to restructure its Japanese operations.

From 1972 through July 1993, Mitsukoshi acted as the principal retailer of Tiffany products in Japan, purchasing selected goods from Tiffany-Japan on a wholesale basis. Mitsukoshi sold the products on a retail basis to the Japanese consumer, realizing profits in the form of relatively higher retail prices. Since the wholesale transactions were denominated entirely in dollars, yen/dollar exchange rate fluctuations did not represent a source of volatility for Tiffany’s expected cash flows. Instead, Mitsukoshi bore the risk of any exchange-rate fluctuations that took place between the time it purchased the inventory from Tiffany and when it finally made cash settlement. Typically, Tiffany merchandise sold by Mitsukoshi was priced at a substantial premium (100% in some case) over the domestic U.S. retail price for such merchandise.5

The new agreement between the two companies, however, fundamentally changed both companies’ financial situations. In repurchasing the merchandise previously sold by Tiffany to Mitsukoshi, Tiffany-Japan assumed new responsibility for establishing yen retail prices, holding inventory in Japan for sale, managing and funding local advertising and publicity programs, and controlling local Japanese management.6 Mitsukoshi, on the other hand, would no longer be an

 

3 Due to the significant number of Tiffany boutiques already operating in Japan, future openings there were expected to occur only at a very modest rate in the near-term future. 4 Tiffany’s business was seasonal in nature with the fourth quarter typically representing a proportionally greater percentage of annual sales, income from operations and net income. In FY 1992, net sales totaled $107,238,000, $120,830,000, $105,897,000, and $152,431,000 for the first, second, third and fourth quarters, respectively. Management expected this pattern to continue in the future. 5 Tiffany management believed that a retail price reduction in Japan of 20% to 25% would likely result in a substantial increase in unit volume of jewelry sales. 6 The repurchase of inventory by Tiffany necessitated the reversal of $115 million in sales and related gross profit previously recognized on merchandise sold to Mitsukoshi. Accordingly, Tiffany recorded a $57.5 million reserve to provide for product returns, which reduced the second fiscal quarter’s (ended July 31, 1993) net income by approximately $32.7 million, or $2.07 per share. Of the $115 million of sales being reversed, only

For the exclusive use of R. Sleinsky, 2016.

This document is authorized for use only by Rachel Sleinsky in International Financial Management taught by John King, Cleveland State University from January 2016 to May 2016.

 

 

295-047 Tiffany & Co.—1993

4

independent retailer of Tiffany products, but would still receive fees equaling 27% of net retail sales in compensation for providing boutique facilities, sales staff, collection of receivables, and security for store inventory.7

With greater control over retail sales in its Japanese operations, Tiffany looked forward to long-run improvement in its performance in Japan despite continuing weak local economic conditions. However, increased sales and profits were not the only changes that Tiffany could anticipate as a result of the new agreement. Tiffany now faced the risk of foreign currency fluctuations previously borne by Mitsukoshi. Past history warned Tiffany that the yen/dollar exchange rate could be quite volatile on a year-to-year, and even month-to-month, basis. Exhibit 6 illustrates the significant strengthening of the yen against the dollar during the ten years ending in 1993. While a continuation of this strengthening would enhance the dollar value of Tiffany’s yen- denominated cash inflows, there was the distinct possibility that the yen might eventually become overvalued and crash suddenly, just as the U.S. dollar did in 1985. Indeed, there was some evidence that the yen was overvalued against the dollar in 1993 (see Exhibit 7).

Hedging to Manage Foreign Exchange Risk

The possibility of sharp, unexpected movements in the yen/dollar exchange rate had prompted Tiffany’s management to study the desirability of engaging in a program to manage exchange-rate risk. To reduce exchange-rate risk on its yen cash flows, Tiffany had two basic alternatives available to it. One was to enter into forward agreements to sell yen for dollars at a predetermined price in the future. The other was to purchase a yen put option. The terms at which Tiffany could purchase forward contracts and put options, along with other financial market data, are shown in Exhibit 8.

Before committing Tiffany to a hedging program, management wanted to be sure it understood what the potential risks and rewards were for each of these so-called “derivative” instruments. Perhaps more importantly, it was essential to determine whether or not a risk management program was appropriate for Tiffany, what its objectives should be, and how much, if any, exposure should be covered.

 

$52.5 million of inventory held in Mitsukoshi boutiques was actually repurchased during the month of July 1993 (Mitsukoshi agreed to accept a deferred payment on $25 million of this repurchased boutique inventory, which was to be repaid in yen on a quarterly basis with interest of 6% per annum over the next 4 1/2 years). Approximately $62.5 million of Tiffany & Co. inventory maintained in Mitsukoshi warehouses will be repurchased throughout the period ending February 28, 1998. Payment for this warehouse inventory was to be made in yen forty days following actual receipt of the inventory. 7 Fees were reduced to 5% on certain high-value jewelry items repurchased from Mitsukoshi. Tiffany-Japan would also pay Mitsukoshi incentive fees equal to 5% of the amount by which boutique sales increase year-to- year, calculated on a per-boutique basis. In Tokyo, Tiffany boutiques could be established only in Mitsukoshi’s stores and Tiffany-brand jewelry could be sold only in such boutiques (though Tiffany-Japan reserved the right to open a single flagship store in Tokyo).

For the exclusive use of R. Sleinsky, 2016.

This document is authorized for use only by Rachel Sleinsky in International Financial Management taught by John King, Cleveland State University from January 2016 to May 2016.

 

 

Tiffany & Co.—1993 295-047

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CFO 15-20 Project For FedEx – Comprehensive Strategic Financial Report

 This is for FedEx Company

Your mission is to develop a comprehensive report to your CEO based on the topics covered in the course. Your task is to analyze the company in this context and provide recommendations.  You decide how each topic should be addressed, and include research to make/support your strategy/policy recommendations. Your report should include an assessment of your company’s corporate governance “readiness” and provide suitable recommendations to ensure compliance with the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 and new regulations published by the regulatory bodies.

In the spirit of a Forensic Financial Analysis, You should conduct an analysis of the firm’s financial statements and policies as a risk management exercise for the benefit of the company CEO.  Look for any “bodies” buried in the statements and associated notes, as well as the types of information disclosed to the public (e.g., pro forma earnings).  Your goal here is to identify any areas where the firm is vulnerable to SEC action (fraud or otherwise) and report these to the CEO as a preemptive risk mitigation action.  The required text Financial Shenanigans should be used as a reference to guide your approach in this area. I recognize this is a difficult task, given the short exposure to forensics financial analysis and the restricted information available to you. Do the best job you can.

For your Corporate Governance Assessment, you are should  assess the integrity and rigor of the firm’s corporate governance structure (Board, Audit Committee, stock options policies, pension fund policy, etc.) to identify any weaknesses you can find and provide recommendations to strengthen governance policy. The corporate governance readings and recommended text, Building Public Trust: The Future of Corporate Reporting provide a good framework for your analysis and research. I recognize this is a tall order, given the complexity of the task and your limited access to relevant information; however there are a number of databases UMUC subscribes to that can be of use to you. In addition to the article databases, such as ABI/INFORM and Business Source Complete, we have:

1. D & B Key Business Ratios provides business ratios for industries in areas of solvency, efficiency and profitability searchable by industry name and SIC code with reports that can by printed in spreadsheet format.

2. Business and Company Resource Center has industry rankings, financial data, and investment reports including company profiles, products and brand information, investment reports, statistics, company financial overviews, financial ratios, and business events and trends. Some sources from 1985 to the present.

3. Business and Industry has business, finance, strategy, planning, marketing, and international business journal articles from 1994 to the present.

4. Mergent Online has directory data, financial information from 1991 to the present, histories for companies worldwide, and industry reports for the North American, Asian, and European regions from 2003 to the present. Corporate and municipal bond, UIT, and dividend information. Comparative industry financial information and ratios.

You may also use topic areas covered in eCFO lecture notes posted at the links in the course schedule as target areas for improvement in your company, as well as topic areas for the sessions listed in the schedule.  For example, you may address two topic areas from the eCFO lecture notes and two topic areas from the session topics as the focus of your analysis and improvement recommendations.

 
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Strategic Plan Part 2 External And Internal Assessment

Part 1: Overview (Topic 1)

Imagine you need to present your initial pitch for your Strategic Initiative Plan. Create a 5-8 slide PowerPoint presentation with speaker notes that seeks to get permission from key stakeholders.

In your presentation, address the following:

1. Identify the type (market entry, market expansion, merger, and acquisition) of Strategic Plan that you will be creating.

2. Provide the vision, mission, and values of the organization.

3. How do organization values drive the culture?

4. What is the culture you intend to build, or exists, today?

5. What is your competitive advantage?

Provide three to five sources in your presentation.

While APA format is not required for the body of this assignment, solid academic writing is expected, and documentation of sources should be presented using APA formatting guidelines, which can be found in the APA Style Guide, located in the Student Success Center.

This assignment uses a rubric. Please review the rubric prior to beginning the assignment to become familiar with the expectations for successful completion.

You are required to submit this assignment to Turnitin. Please refer to the directions in the Student Success Center.

 
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Stocktrak Report

© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

Chapter 16: Equity Portfolio Management Strategies

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Passive versus Active Management

Total Portfolio Return

The total actual return on any equity portfolio can be decomposed into:

Expected return

Alpha

The Equation

Total Actual Return

=[Expected Return] + [“Alpha”]

=[Risk-Free Rate + Risk Premium]+[“Alpha”]

 

16-2

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Passive versus Active Management

Passive equity portfolio management

Long-term buy-and-hold strategy

Usually tracks an index over time

Designed to match market performance

Manager is judged on how well they track the target index

Active equity portfolio management

Attempts to outperform a passive benchmark portfolio on a risk-adjusted basis by seeking the “alpha” value

See Exhibit 16.1

16-3

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Exhibit 16.1

© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

16-4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

An Overview of Passive Strategies

Attempt to replicate the performance of an index

May slightly underperform the target index due to fees and commissions

Strong rationale for this approach

Costs of active management (1 to 2 percent) are hard to overcome in risk-adjusted performance

Many different market indexes are used for tracking portfolios

S&P 500 Index

NASDAQ Composite Index

16-5

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Index Portfolio Construction Techniques

Full Replication

All securities in the index are purchased in proportion to weights in the index

This helps ensure close tracking

Increases transaction costs, particularly with dividend reinvestment

16-6

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Index Portfolio Construction Techniques

Sampling

Buys a representative sample of stocks in the benchmark index according to their weights in the index

Fewer stocks means lower commissions

Reinvestment of dividends is less difficult

Will not track the index as closely, so there will be some tracking error

 

16-7

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Index Portfolio Construction Techniques

Quadratic Optimization (or programming techniques)

Historical information on price changes and correlations between securities are input into a computer program that determines the composition of a portfolio that will minimize tracking error with the benchmark

This relies on historical correlations, which may change over time, leading to failure to track the index

 

16-8

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Tracking Error and Index Portfolio Construction

The goal of the passive manager should be to minimize the portfolio’s return volatility relative to the index, i.e., to minimize tracking error

Tracking Error Measure

Return differential in time period t

Δt =Rpt – Rbt

where Rpt= return to the managed portfolio in Period t

Rbt= return to the benchmark portfolio in Period t

Tracking error is measured as the standard deviation of Δt , normally annualized (TE)

See Exhibit 16.2

16-9

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Exhibit 16.2

© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

16-10

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Methods of Index Portfolio Investing

16-11

Index Funds

In an indexed portfolio, the fund manager will typically attempt to replicate the composition of the particular index exactly

The fund manager will buy the exact securities comprising the index in their exact weights

Change those positions anytime the composition of the index itself is changed

Low trading and management expense ratios

The advantage of index mutual funds is that they provide an inexpensive way for investors to acquire a diversified portfolio

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Methods of Index Portfolio Investing

16-12

Exchange-Traded Funds (ETF)

EFTs are depository receipts that give investors a pro rata claim on the capital gains and cash flows of the securities that are held in deposit by a financial institution that issued the certificates

A significant advantage of ETFs over index mutual funds is that they can be bought and sold (and short sold) like common stock

The notable example of ETFs

Standard & Poor’s 500 Depository Receipts (SPDRs)

iShares

Sector ETFs

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An Overview of Active Strategies

Goal is to earn a portfolio return that exceeds the return of a passive benchmark portfolio, net of transaction costs, on a risk-adjusted basis

Need to select an appropriate benchmark

Practical difficulties of active manager

Transactions costs must be offset by superior performance vis-Ă -vis the benchmark

Higher risk-taking can also increase needed performance to beat the benchmark

See Exhibits 16.5 and 16.6

16-13

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Exhibit 16.5

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16-14

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Exhibit 16.6

© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

16-15

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

16-16

Fundamental Strategies

Top-Down versus Bottom-Up Approaches

Top-Down

Broad country and asset class allocations

Sector allocation decisions

Individual securities selection

Bottom-Up

Emphasizes the selection of securities without any initial market or sector analysis

Form a portfolio of equities that can be purchased at a substantial discount to what his or her valuation model indicates they are worth

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16-17

Fundamental Strategies

Three Generic Themes

Time the equity market by shifting funds into and out of stocks, bonds, and T-bills depending on broad market forecasts

Shift funds among different equity sectors and industries (e.g., financial stocks, technology stocks) or among investment styles (e.g., value, growth large capitalization, small capitalization). This is basically the sector rotation strategy

Do stock picking and look at individual issues in an attempt to find undervalued stocks

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16-18

Fundamental Strategies

The 130/30 Strategy

Long positions up to 130 percent of the portfolio’s original capital and short positions up to 30 percent

The use of the short positions creates the leverage needed, increasing both risk and expected returns compared to the fund’s benchmark

Enable managers to make full use of their fundamental research to buy stocks they identify as undervalued as well as short those that are overvalued

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Technical Strategies

16-19

Contrarian Investment Strategy

The belief that the best time to buy (sell) a stock is when the majority of other investors are the most bearish (bullish) about it

The concept of mean reverting

The overreaction hypothesis (Exhibit 16.9)

Price Momentum Strategy

Focus on the trend of past prices alone and makes purchase and sale decisions accordingly

Assume that recent trends in past prices will continue

© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Exhibit 16.9

© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

16-20

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Anomalies and Attributes

Earnings Momentum Strategy

Momentum is measured by the difference of actual EPS to the expected EPS

Purchases stocks that have accelerating earnings and sells (or short sells) stocks with disappointing earnings

Calendar-Related Anomalies

The Weekend Effect

The January Effect

Firm-Specific Attributes

Firm Size

P/E and P/BV ratios (Exhibit 16.12)

16-21

© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

21

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Exhibit 16.12

© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

16-22

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tax Efficiency and Active Equity Management

Active portfolio managers especially need to consider taxes when deciding whether to sell or hold a stock whose value has increased

If a security is sold at a profit, capital gains are paid and less in left in the portfolio to reinvest

A new security (the reinvestment security) needs to have a superior return sufficient to make up for these taxes

The size of the expected return depends on the expected holding period and the cost basis (and amount of the capital gain) of the original security

16-23

© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

23

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Tax Efficiency and Active Equity Management

Measures of Tax Efficiency

Portfolio Turnover

Measured as the total dollar value of the securities sold from the portfolio in a year divided by the average dollar value of the assets

Tax Cost Ratio (%)

The Formula

Tax Cost Ratio = [1 – (1 + TAR)/(1 + PTR)] x 100

where

PTR = pretax return

TAR = tax-adjusted return

See Exhibit 16.14

16-24

© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

24

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Exhibit 16.14

© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

16-25

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Value versus Growth

A growth investor focuses on the current and future economic “story” of a company, with less regard to share valuation

A value investor focuses on share price in anticipation of a market correction and, possibly, improving company fundamentals.

Value stocks generally have offered somewhat higher returns than growth stocks, but this does not occur with much consistency from one investment period to another

16-26

© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Value versus Growth

Growth-oriented investor will:

Focus on EPS and its economic determinants

Look for companies expected to have rapid EPS growth

Assumes constant P/E ratio

Value-oriented investor will:

Focus on the price component

Not care much about current earnings

Assume the P/E ratio is below its natural level

 

16-27

© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Style Analysis

Construct a portfolio to capture one or more of the characteristics of equity securities

Small-cap stocks, low-P/E stocks, etc…

Value stocks (those that appear to be under-priced according to various measures)

Low Price/Book value or Price/Earnings ratios

Growth stocks (above-average earnings per share increases)

High P/E, possibly a price momentum strategy

See Exhibit 16.20

16-28

© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Exhibit 16.20

© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

16-29

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Does Style Matter?

Choice to align with investment style communicates information to clients

Determining style is useful in measuring performance relative to a benchmark

Style identification allows an investor to diversify by portfolio

Style investing allows control of the total portfolio to be shared between the investment managers and a sponsor

Intentional and unintentional style drift

16-30

© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Asset Allocation Strategies

Integrated asset allocation

Capital market conditions (C1-C3)

Investor’s objectives and constraints (IPS or I1-I3)

Continuous adjustment in asset allocations based on feedback loops from capital markets and IPS (as in Chap 2)

 

Strategic asset allocation (long-term asset allocation)

 

Constant-mix; no feedback loops from capital markets or investor’s policy statement (IPS)

16-31

© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Asset Allocation Strategies (Cont.)

Tactical asset allocation (short-term changes in asset mix)

Mean reversion, inherently contrarian, temp change in capital market conditions (C1-C3)

Feedback loops from capital markets only; none from IPS

 

Insured asset allocation (continual adjustments)

IPS change with age and wealth; no change in capital market conditions (C1-C3) and no feedbacks from C1-C3; feedbacks only from IPS. Also called Constant Proportion strategy; e.g., change the percentage allocation between stocks & T-bill.

 

© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

16-32

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Asset Allocation Strategies

Selecting an Active Allocation Method

Perceptions of variability in the client’s objectives and constraints

Perceived relationship between the past and future capital market conditions

The investor’s needs and capital market conditions are can be considered constant and can be considered variable

16-33

© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The Internet Investments Online

http://www.russell.com

http://www.firstquadrant.com

http://www.panagora.com

http://www.wilshire.com

 

16-34

© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

34

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