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A builder has located a piece of property that she would like to buy and eventually build on. The land is currently zoned for four homes per acre, but she is planning to request new zoning. What she builds depends on approval of zoning requests and your analysis of this problem to advise her. With her input and your help, the decision process has been reduced to the following costs, alternatives, and probabilities: Cost of land: $2 million. Probability of rezoning: 0.60. If the land is rezoned, there will be additional costs for new roads, lighting, and so on, of $1 million. If the land is rezoned, the contractor must decide whether to build a shopping center or 1,500 apartments that the tentative plan shows would be possible. If she builds a shopping center, there is a 70 percent chance that she can sell the shopping center to a large department store chain for $4 million over her construction cost, which excludes the land; and there is a 30 percent chance that she can sell it to an insurance company for $5 million over her construction cost (also excluding the land). If, instead of the shopping center, she decides to build the 1,500 apartments, she places probabilities on the profits as follows: There is a 60 percent chance that she can sell the apartments to a real estate investment corporation for $3,000 each over her construction cost; there is a 40 percent chance that she can get only $2,000 each over her construction cost. (Both exclude the land cost.) If the land is not rezoned, she will comply with the existing zoning restrictions and simply build 600 homes, on which she expects to make $4,000 over the construction cost on each one (excluding the cost of land).

a) What is the expected value for the rezoned shopping center, if the rezoning cost is included? (Do not round your intermediate calculations. Enter your answers in millions rounded to 2 decimal places. Negative amounts should be indicated by a minus sign.)

b) What is the expected value for the rezoned apartments, if the rezoning cost is included? (Do not round your intermediate calculations. Enter your answers in millions rounded to 2 decimal places. Negative amounts should be indicated by a minus sign.)

c) If the land is rezoned, what should the contractor decide? And Why. 1 A. Build shopping center B. Build apartments

d) What is the expected revenue, if the land is not rezoned? (Do not round your intermediate calculations. Enter your answers in millions rounded to 2 decimal places. Negative amounts should be indicated by a minus sign.)

e) What is the expected net profit of entire project? (Do not round your intermediate calculations. Enter your answers in millions rounded to 2 decimal places. Negative amounts should be indicated by a minus sign.)

2. (3 points) United Research Associates (URA) had received a contract to produce two units of a new cruise missile guidance control. The first unit took 4,000 hours to complete and cost $30,000 in materials and equipment usage. The second took 3,200 hours and cost $21,000 in materials and equipment usage. Labor cost is charged at $18 per hour. The company expects “learning” to occur relative to labor and also relative to the pricing of materials and equipment. The prime contractor has now approached URA and asked to submit a bid for the cost of producing another 2 guidance controls. Use learning table

a) What will the 4th unit cost to build? (Round your answer to the nearest dollar amount.)

b) What will be the average time for the 4 missile guidance controls? (Round your answer to the nearest whole number.)