Culture And International Trade

Assignment 1: Discussion Questions—Culture and International Trade

Culture and politics are important parts of the external environmental and vary more across than within countries. These features should be carefully assessed before entering into a foreign market or location with a business venture.

Research the impact of culture and politics on business using your textbook, University online library resources, and the Internet. Respond to the following:

  • Why is understanding culture critical for successful international business? Give examples of how understanding culture has been important for an international business.
  • Classify and describe at least four different types of political systems that an international business might encounter. What type of political system might have the greatest potential for imposing adverse political risk on an international business? Compare at least one other system to the one you selected and explain why it has less potential for imposing political risk.

Write your response in 400 words or less. Apply current APA standards for writing style to your work. All written assignments and responses should follow APA rules for attributing sources.

By Tuesday, February 5 , 2013, submit your assignment

 

Assignment 2: Case Analysis—Nike and International Labor Practices

There are certain important differences between developed and developing countries, some of which may lead to difficult ethical problems. The case study in this assignment describes Nike’s production strategy that lead to a labor controversy.

Read the following case study:

Analyze the case. In your case analysis, address the following:

  1. Summarize the basic issues presented in the case.
  2. Describe Nike’s business strategy and how it involved controversial manufacturing relations. Discuss the opinions about this strategy.
  3. Describe and discuss the conditions in the manufacturing operations for Nike products. Comment on whether the wages in these manufacturing plants were too low. Cite data in support.
  4. What other U.S. companies are mentioned in the case? Describe them and their relationship to the labor issues. Does this issue seem to concern only Nike?
  5. In your opinion, did Nike take the right steps? Should they and other U.S. shoe manufacturers continue to contract for making shoes in Asia? Should the U.S. government be involved in regulating such operations?

Submit your work in a 4-page Word document. Apply current APA standards for writing style to your work. All written assignments and responses should follow APA rules for attributing sources.

By Saturday, February 9, 2013, deliver your assignment

2 Cross-Cultural Business

Learning Objectives

Helsinki, Finland—Nokia Corporation (www.nokia.com) is the world’s number one manufacturer of mobile handsets. The company’s 112,000 employees in more than 150 countries generate $79 billion in sales annually. Nokia uses its knowledge of cultures to control 40 percent of the global handset market.

Nokia is especially talented at detecting consumer needs in emerging markets. China and India represent Nokia’s first and second largest markets ahead of third-place United States. Nokia knows that in India a buyer selects a handset that has the right look and style and projects the right image. But for a consumer in China, a handset needs to be the right bargain. And Nokia recently finished a year-long study of the handset needs of people who live in Accra, capital city of the African nation Ghana.

Source: Jeffrey Barbee.

Nokia spends around $8 billion a year on research and development. Anthropologists and psychologists first travel the globe for Nokia to learn how people behave and communicate. Personnel at Nokia’s headquarters in Finland then blend these unique insights with emerging global trends to design new handsets. Finally, the company develops phones suitable for a variety of markets but localizes each one with colors, surface textures, services, and ring-tones.

Nokia maintains its competitive edge through careful cultural research. For example, company anthropologists learned that people in rural areas of emerging markets need a phone that can be shared among many users. So Nokia added the capability to save each person’s contacts separately and installed a call tracker that imposes a time or cost limit on each call. Handsets designed for emerging markets also feature menus in local languages, a one-touch flashlight in case of power outages, and a demo program for those who have never used a mobile phone. As you read this chapter, consider how culture influences international business and how company actions affect cultures.1

This chapter is the first of three that describe the links between international business activity and a nation’s business environment. We introduce these topics early because of their strong influence on how commerce is conducted in different countries. In fact, success in international business can often be traced directly to a deep understanding of some aspect of a people’s commercial environment. This chapter explores the influence of culture on international business activity. Chapter 3 presents the roles of political and legal systems , and Chapter 4 examines the impact of economic systems and emerging markets on international business.

An assessment of any nation’s overall business climate is typically the first step in analyzing its potential as a host for international commercial activity. This means addressing some important questions, such as the following: What language(s) do the people speak? What is the climate like? Are the local people open to new ideas and new ways of doing business? Do government officials and the people want our business? Is the political situation stable enough so that our assets and employees are not placed at unacceptable levels of risk? Answers to these kinds of questions—plus statistical data on items such as income level and labor costs—allow companies to evaluate the attractiveness of a location as a place for doing business.

We address culture first in our discussion of national business environments because of its pivotal role in all international commercial activity. Whether we are discussing an entrepreneur running a small import/export business or a huge global firm directly involved in over 100 countries, people are at the center of all business activity. When people from around the world come together to conduct business, they bring with them different backgrounds, assumptions, expectations, and ways of communicating—in other words, culture .

We begin this chapter by exploring the influence of nation-states and subcultures on a people’s overall cultural image. Next we learn the importance of values, attitudes, manners, and customs in any given culture. We then examine ways in which social institutions, religion, language, and other key elements of culture affect business practices and national competitiveness. We close this chapter with a look at two alternative methods for classifying cultures.

What Is Culture?

When traveling in other countries, we often perceive differences in the way people live and work. In the United States dinner is commonly eaten around 6:00 p.m.; in Spain it’s not served until 8:00 or 9:00 p.m. In the United States most people shop in large supermarkets once or twice a week; Italians tend to shop in smaller local grocery stores nearly every day. Essentially, we are experiencing differences in culture —the set of values, beliefs, rules, and institutions held by a specific group of people. Culture is a highly complex portrait of a people. It includes everything from high tea in England to the tropical climate of Barbados, to Mardi Gras in Brazil, to segregation of the sexes in Saudi Arabian schools.

culture

Set of values, beliefs, rules, and institutions held by a specific group of people.

Before we learn about the individual components of culture, let’s look at one important concept that should be discouraged and one that should be fostered.

Avoiding Ethnocentricity

Ethnocentricity is the belief that one’s own ethnic group or culture is superior to that of others. Ethnocentricity can seriously undermine international business projects. It causes people to view other cultures in terms of their own and, therefore, disregard the beneficial characteristics of other cultures. Ethnocentricity played a role in many stories, some retold in this chapter, of companies that failed when they tried to implement a new business practice in a subsidiary abroad. The failures occurred because managers ignored a fundamental aspect of the local culture, which provoked a backlash from the local population, their government, or nongovernmental groups. As suppliers and buyers increasingly treat the world as a single, interconnected marketplace, managers should eliminate the biases inherent in ethnocentric thinking. For more information on how companies can foster a non-ethnocentric perspective, see this chapter’s Culture Matters feature titled, “Creating a Global Mind-set.”

ethnocentricity

Belief that one’s own ethnic group or culture is superior to that of others.

CULTURE MATTERS: Creating a Global Mind-set

In this era of globalization, companies need employees who function without the blinders of ethnocentricity. Here are some ways managers can develop a global mind-set:

■ Cultural Adaptability. Managers need the ability to alter their behavior when working with people from other cultures. The first step in doing this is to develop one’s knowledge of unfamiliar cultures. The second step is to act on that knowledge to alter behavior appropriately in response to cultural expectations. This can help managers to evaluate others in a culturally unbiased way and to motivate and lead multicultural teams.

■ Bridging the Gap. A large gap can emerge between theory and practice when Western management ideas are applied in Eastern cultures. “U.S. management principles may be accepted throughout the world, but Anglo-Saxon business customs and practices [on which they are based] may not be,” says management adviser Kim Tae Woo. In Asia, Western managers may try implementing “collective leadership” practices more in line with Asian management styles.

■ Building Global Mentality. Companies can apply personality-testing techniques to measure the global aptitude of managers. The Global Mentality Test evaluates an individual’s openness and flexibility in mind-set, understanding of global principles and terminology, and strategic implementation abilities. It also identifies areas in which training is needed and generates a list of recommended programs.

■ Flexibility Is Key. The more behavioral are the issues, the greater is the influence of local cultures. Japanese and Korean managers are more likely than U.S. managers to wait for directions and consult peers on decisions. And Western managers posted in the Middle East must learn to work within a rigid hierarchy to be successful. Although showing respect for others is universally valued, respect is defined differently from country to country.

■ Want to Know More? Visit the Center for Creative Leadership (www.ccl.org), Intercultural Business Center (www.ib-c.com), and Transnational Management Associates (www.tmaworld.com).

Developing Cultural Literacy

As globalization continues, people directly involved in international business increasingly benefit from a certain degree of cultural literacy —detailed knowledge about a culture that enables a person to function effectively within it. Cultural literacy improves people’s ability to manage employees, market products, and conduct negotiations in other countries. Global brands such as Procter & Gamble (www.pg.com) and Sony (www.sony.com) provide a competitive advantage because consumers know and respect these highly recognizable names. Yet cultural differences often dictate alterations in some aspect of a business to suit local tastes and preferences. The culturally literate manager who compensates for local needs and desires brings his or her company closer to customers and improves the firm’s competitiveness.

cultural literacy

Detailed knowledge about a culture that enables a person to function effectively within it.

As you read through the concepts and examples in this chapter, try to avoid reacting with ethnocentricity while developing your own cultural literacy . Because these two concepts are central to the discussion of many international business topics, you will encounter them throughout this book. In the book’s final chapter (Chapter 16), we explore specific types of cultural training that companies use to develop their employees’ cultural literacy.

National Culture and Subcultures

Rightly or wrongly, we tend to invoke the concept of the nation-state when speaking of culture. In other words, we usually refer to British and Indonesian cultures as if all Britons and all Indonesians were culturally identical. We do this because we are conditioned to think in terms of national culture. But this is at best a generalization. In Great Britain, campaigns for greater Scottish and Welsh independence continue to make progress. And people in remote parts of Indonesia build homes in treetops even as people in the nation’s developed regions pursue ambitious economic development projects. Let’s now take a closer look at the diversity that lies beneath the veneer of national culture.

National Culture

Nation-states support and promote the concept of national culture by building museums and monuments to preserve the legacies of important events and people. Nation-states also intervene in business to preserve national culture. Most nations, for example, regulate culturally sensitive sectors of the economy, such as filmmaking and broadcasting. France continues to voice fears that its language is being tainted with English and its media with U.S. programming. To stem the English invasion, French laws limit the use of English in product packaging and storefront signs. At peak listening times, at least 40 percent of all radio station programming is reserved for French artists. Similar laws apply to television broadcasting. The French government even fined the local branch of a U.S. university for failing to provide a French translation on its English-language Web site.

Cities, too, get involved in enhancing national cultural attractions, often for economic reasons. Lifestyle enhancements to a city can help it attract companies, which benefit by having an easier task retaining top employees. The Guggenheim Museum in Bilbao, Spain (www.guggenheim-bilbao.es), designed by Frank Gehry, revived that old Basque industrial city. And Hong Kong’s government enhanced its cultural attractions by building a Hong Kong Disney to lure businesses that may otherwise locate elsewhere in Asia.

Subcultures

A group of people who share a unique way of life within a larger, dominant culture is called a subculture . A subculture can differ from the dominant culture in language, race, lifestyle, values, attitudes, or other characteristics.

subculture

A group of people who share a unique way of life within a larger, dominant culture.

Although subcultures exist in all nations, they are often glossed over by our impressions of national cultures. For example, the customary portrait of Chinese culture often ignores the fact that China’s population includes more than 50 distinct ethnic groups. Decisions regarding product design, packaging, and advertising should consider each group’s distinct culture. Marketing campaigns also need to recognize that Chinese dialects in the Shanghai and Canton regions differ from those in the country’s interior; not everyone is fluent in the official Mandarin dialect.

Subculture members define themselves by their style (such as clothing, hair, tattoos) and rebel against mass consumerism. London, England’s Camden district is famous for its historic markets and as a gathering place for alternative subcultures such as goth, punk, and emo. Businesses like YouTube help subcultures to spread quickly worldwide. Can you think of a company that targets an international subculture with its products?

Source: © Hemis/CORBIS. All Rights Reserved.

A multitude of subcultures also exists within the United States. Of 300 million U.S. residents, around 80 million are black, Hispanic, and Asian. Frito Lay (www.fritolay.com) was initially disheartened that 46 million U.S. Hispanics were not buying its Latin-flavored versions of Lay’s and Doritos chips. The company looked south of the border to its Mexican subsidiary, Sabritas, and brought four popular brands into the U.S. market, including Sabritones Chile & Lime Puffed Wheat Snacks. The gamble paid off as sales of Frito’s Sabritas brand doubled to more than $100 million over a two-year period.2

Cultural boundaries do not always correspond to political boundaries. In other words, subcultures sometimes exist across national borders. People who live in different nations but who share the same subculture can have more in common with one another than with their fellow nationals. Arab culture, for example, extends from northwest Africa to the Middle East, with pockets of Arabs in many European countries and the United States. Because Arabs share a common language and tend to share purchasing behaviors related to Islamic religious beliefs, marketing to Arab subcultures can sometimes be accomplished with a single marketing campaign.

Quick Study

1. Define culture . How does ethnocentricity distort one’s view of other cultures?

2. What is cultural literacy ? Why should businesspeople understand other cultures?

3. How do nation-states and subcultures influence a nation’s cultural image?

Components of Culture

The actions of nation-states and the presence of subcultures help define the culture of a group of people. But a people’s culture also includes what they consider beautiful and tasteful, their underlying beliefs, their traditional habits, and the ways in which they relate to one another and their surroundings. Let’s take a detailed look at each main component of culture: aesthetics , values and attitudes , manners and customs , social structure , religion, personal communication, education, and physical and material environments.

Aesthetics

What a culture considers “good taste” in the arts (including music, painting, dance, drama, and architecture), the imagery evoked by certain expressions, and the symbolism of certain colors is called aesthetics .

aesthetics

What a culture considers “good taste” in the arts, the imagery evoked by certain expressions, and the symbolism of certain colors.

Aesthetics are important when a company does business in another culture. The selection of appropriate colors for advertising, product packaging, and even work uniforms can improve the odds of success. For example, green is a favorable color in Islam and adorns the national flags of most Islamic nations, including Jordan, Pakistan, and Saudi Arabia. Companies take advantage of the emotional attachment to the color green in these countries by incorporating it into a product, its packaging, or its promotion. Across much of Asia, on the other hand, green is associated with sickness. In Europe, Mexico, and the United States, the color of death and mourning is black; in Japan and most of Asia, it’s white.

Shoe manufacturer Nike (www.nike.com) experienced firsthand the importance of imagery and symbolism in international marketing. The company emblazoned a new line of shoes with the word “Air” written to resemble flames or heat rising off blacktop. The shoes were given various names, including Air Bakin’, Air Melt, Air Grill, and Air BQue. But what Nike did not realize was that the squiggly lines of the “Air” logo resembled Arabic script for “Allah,” the Arabic name for God. Under threat of a worldwide boycott by Muslims, who considered it a sacrilege, Nike apologized and recalled the shoes.

Music is deeply embedded in culture and, when used correctly, can be a clever and creative addition to a promotion; if used incorrectly, it can offend the local population. The architecture of buildings and other structures should also be researched to avoid making cultural blunders attributable to the symbolism of certain shapes and forms.

The importance of aesthetics is just as great when going international using the Internet. Many companies exist that teach corporations how to globalize their Internet presence. These companies often provide professional guidance on how to adapt Web sites to account for cultural preferences such as color scheme, imagery, and slogans.3 The advice of specialist firms can be particularly helpful for entrepreneurs and small businesses because they rarely have in-house employees well-versed in other cultures. To read how small business owners can tailor a Web site to suit local aesthetics and other cultural variables, see the Entrepreneur’s Toolkit titled, “Localize Your Web Site.”

Values and Attitudes

Ideas, beliefs, and customs to which people are emotionally attached are called values . Values include concepts such as honesty, marital faithfulness, freedom, and responsibility. Values are important to business because they affect a people’s work ethic and desire for material possessions. For example, whereas people in Singapore value hard work and material success, people in Greece value leisure and a modest lifestyle. The United Kingdom and the United States value individual freedom; Japan and South Korea value group consensus.

values

Ideas, beliefs, and customs to which people are emotionally attached.

The influx of values from other cultures can be fiercely resisted. Many Muslims believe drugs, alcohol, and certain kinds of music and literature will undermine important Islamic values. This is why nations under Islamic law (including Iran and Saudi Arabia) exact severe penalties against anyone possessing illegal items such as drugs and alcohol. Deeply held conservative values are why the Arab world’s reality TV programs tend to be short-lived. In Bahrain, the local version of “Big Brother” was canceled after people objected to the program’s format, which involved young unmarried adults of both sexes living under the same roof. The Lebanon-based program “Hawa Sawa” (“On Air Together”) was shut down because its “elimidate” format (in which a young man would gradually eliminate young women to finally select a date) was perceived by many people as too Western.4

ENTREPRENEUR’S TOOLKIT: Localize Your Web Site

When going global with an Internet presence, the more a company localizes, the better. Online customers want an experience corresponding to their cultural context offline. Here are a few tips for entrepreneurs launching an online presence.

■ Choosing Colors. A black-and-white Web site is fine for many countries, but in Asia visitors may think you are inviting them to a funeral. In Japan and across Europe, Web sites in pastel color schemes often work best.

■ Selecting Numbers. Many Chinese-speaking cultures consider the number four unlucky, although eight and nine symbolize prosperity. Be careful that your Web address and phone numbers do not send the wrong signal.

■ Watching the Clock. If marketing to countries that use the 24-hour clock, adjust times stated on the site so it reads, “Call between 9:00 and 17:00” instead of “Call between 9 a.m. and 5 p.m.”

■ Avoiding Slang. English in Britain is different from that in the United States, Spanish in Spain is different from that in Mexico, and French in France is different from that in Quebec. Avoid slang to lessen the potential negative impact of such differences.

■ Waving the Flag. Using national flags as symbols for buttons that access different language versions of your site should be done carefully. Mexican visitors to your site may be put off by a Spanish flag to signify the site’s Spanish-language version, for example.

■ Doing the Math. Provide conversions into local currencies for buyer convenience. For online ordering, be sure your site calculates any shipping costs, tax rates, tariffs, and so on. Also allow enough blanks on the order form to accommodate longer international addresses.

■ Getting Feedback. Finally, talk with customers to know what they want to accomplish on your Web site. Then thoroughly test the site to ensure it functions properly.

Attitudes are positive or negative evaluations, feelings, and tendencies that individuals harbor toward objects or concepts. Attitudes reflect underlying values. For example, a Westerner would be expressing an attitude if he or she were to say, “I do not like the Japanese purification ritual because it involves being naked in a communal bath.” The Westerner quoted here might hold conservative beliefs regarding exposure of the body.

attitudes

Positive or negative evaluations, feelings, and tendencies that individuals harbor toward objects or concepts.

Similar to values, attitudes are learned from role models, including parents, teachers, and religious leaders. Attitudes also differ from one country to another because they are formed within a cultural context. But unlike values (which generally concern only important matters), people hold attitudes toward both important and unimportant aspects of life. And whereas values remain quite rigid over time, attitudes are more flexible.

It seems a “European” attitude has sunk into the psyche of young people there as companies from different countries merge, industries consolidate, and nations grow closer together in the European Union. Many young people in Europe today consider themselves to be “European” as much as they identify with their individual national identities. Still, the underlying values of young Europeans tend to remain similar to those of their parents. Such cultural knowledge can help managers decide whether to adapt promotions to local attitudes for maximum effectiveness.

Let’s now look at how people’s attitudes differ toward three important aspects of life that directly affect business activities: time, work and achievement, and cultural change.

Attitudes Toward Time

People in many Latin American and Mediterranean cultures are casual about their use of time. They maintain flexible schedules and would rather enjoy their time than sacrifice it to unbending efficiency. Businesspeople, for example, may arrive after the scheduled meeting time and prefer to build personal trust before discussing business. Not surprisingly, it usually takes longer to conduct business in these parts of the world than in the United States or northern Europe.

By contrast, people in Japan and the United States typically arrive promptly for meetings, keep tight schedules, and work long hours. The emphasis on using time efficiently reflects the underlying value of hard work in both these countries. Yet people in Japan and the United States sometimes differ in how they use their time at work. For example, U.S. employees strive toward workplace efficiency and may leave work early if the day’s tasks are done, reflecting the value placed on producing individual results. But in Japan, although efficiency is prized, it is equally important to look busy in the eyes of others even when business is slow. Japanese workers want to demonstrate their dedication to superiors and coworkers—an attitude grounded in values such as the concern for group cohesion, loyalty, and harmony.

Attitudes Toward Work

Whereas some cultures display a strong work ethic, others stress a more balanced pace in juggling work and leisure. People in southern France like to say they work to live, while people in the United States live to work. They say work is a means to an end for them, whereas work is an end in itself in the United States. Not surprisingly, the lifestyle in southern France is slower-paced. People tend to concentrate on earning enough money to enjoy a relaxed, quality lifestyle. Businesses practically close down during August, when many workers take month-long paid holidays, usually outside the country.

People tend to launch their own businesses when capital is available for new business start-ups and when the cultural stigma of entrepreneurial failure is low. In European countries, start-ups are considered quite risky and capital for entrepreneurial ventures can be scarce. Moreover, if an entrepreneur’s venture goes bust, he or she can find it very hard to obtain financing for future projects because of the stigma of failure. This remains true despite some progress recently. The opposite attitude tends to prevail in the United States. Reference to prior bankruptcy in a business plan is sometimes considered a valuable learning experience (assuming lessons were learned). As long as U.S. bankers or venture capitalists see promising business plans, they are generally willing to loan money. Today, many European nations are working to foster an entrepreneurial spirit similar to that of the United States.

Attitudes Toward Cultural Change

A cultural trait is anything that represents a culture’s way of life, including gestures, material objects, traditions, and concepts. Such traits include bowing to show respect in Japan (gesture), a Buddhist temple in Thailand (material object), relaxing in a tearoom in Kuwait (tradition), and practicing democracy in the United States (concept). Let’s look more closely at the role of cultural traits in causing cultural change over time and the relation between international companies and cultural change.

cultural trait

Anything that represents a culture’s way of life, including gestures, material objects, traditions, and concepts.

CULTURAL DIFFUSION

The process whereby cultural traits spread from one culture to another is called cultural diffusion . As new traits are accepted and absorbed into a culture, cultural change occurs naturally and, as a rule, gradually. Globalization and technological advances are increasing the pace of both cultural diffusion and cultural change. Satellite television, videoconferencing, and videos on the Internet increase the frequency of international contact and expose people of different nations to new ideas and practices.

cultural diffusion

Process whereby cultural traits spread from one culture to another.

WHEN COMPANIES CHANGE CULTURES

International companies are often agents of cultural change. As trade and investment barriers fall, for example, U.S. consumer-goods and entertainment companies are moving into untapped markets. Critics in some of these places charge that in exporting the products of such firms, the United States is practicing cultural imperialism —the replacement of one culture’s traditions, folk heroes, and artifacts with substitutes from another.

cultural imperialism

Replacement of one culture’s traditions, folk heroes, and artifacts with substitutes from another.

Fears of cultural imperialism still drive some French to oppose the products of the Walt Disney Company (www.disney.com) and its Disneyland Paris theme park. They fear “Mickey and Friends” could replace traditional characters rooted in French culture. McDonald’s (www.mcdonalds.com) is also sometimes charged with cultural imperialism. It is reported that the average Japanese child thinks McDonald’s was invented in Japan and exported to the United States. Chinese children consider “Uncle” McDonald “funny, gentle, kind, and understanding.” Meanwhile, politicians in Russia decried the Snickerization of their culture—a snide term that refers to the popularity of the candy bar made by Snickers (www.snickers.com). And when the Miss World Pageant was held in India, conservative groups criticized Western corporate sponsors for spreading the message of consumerism and portraying women as sex objects.

Sensitivity to the cultures in which they operate can help companies avoid charges of cultural imperialism. Firms must focus not only on meeting people’s product needs, but also on how their activities and products affect people’s traditional ways and habits. Rather than view their influence on culture as the inevitable consequence of doing business, companies can take several steps to soften those effects. For example, policies and practices that are at odds with deeply held beliefs can be introduced gradually. Managers could also seek the advice of highly respected local individuals such as elders, who fulfill key societal roles in many developing countries. And businesses should always make clear to local workers the benefits of any proposed change.

An area in which U.S. companies may be changing other cultures is fairness in the workplace. Just a few years ago, sexual harassment lawsuits were a peculiar phenomenon of U.S. culture. Increased awareness of this issue in other nations coincides with the international outsourcing of jobs. As U.S. companies outsource jobs to other nations, they are being held accountable for how these subcontractors treat their employees. In the process, U.S. companies export values of the U.S. workplace, such as what constitutes harassment.5

Here, a customer in Dubai visits an outlet of Sweden-based IKEA. Sweden historically dominated other Scandinavian nations, including Denmark. Now some in Denmark say IKEA is a “cultural imperialist” for portraying Denmark as Sweden’s doormat because it assigns Danish names to doormats and rugs, but reserves Swedish names for expensive items such as beds and chairs. IKEA says the product names are simply a coincidence.

Source: © Ed Kashi/CORBIS. All Rights Reserved.

WHEN CULTURES CHANGE COMPANIES

Culture often forces companies to adjust their business policies and practices. Managers from the United States, for example, often encounter cultural differences that force changes in how they motivate employees in other countries. Although it’s a time-consuming practice, managers sometimes use situational management—a system in which a supervisor walks an employee through every step of an assignment or task and monitors the results at each stage. This technique helps employees fully understand the scope of their jobs and clarifies the boundaries of their responsibilities.

Other types of changes might also be needed to suit local culture. Vietnam’s traditional, agriculture-based economy means people’s concept of time revolves around the seasons. The local “timepiece” is the monsoon, not the clock. Western managers, therefore, modify their approach and take a more patient, long-term view of business by modifying employee evaluation and reward systems. For example, individual criticism should be delivered privately to save employees from “losing face” among coworkers. Individual praise for good performance can be delivered either in private or in public, if done carefully. The Vietnamese place great value on group harmony, so an individual can be embarrassed if singled out publicly as being superior to the rest of the work unit.

IS A GLOBAL CULTURE EMERGING?

What does the rapid pace of cultural change worldwide mean for international business? Are we witnessing the emergence of a new, truly global culture in which all people share similar lifestyles, values, and attitudes? The rapid pace of cultural diffusion today is causing cultures to converge to some extent. The successful TV show, American Idol, where young people compete for a chance to become a celebrity, is one example of global pop culture. The U.S. show is one of 39 clones around the world based on the original British show, Pop Idol. The same company helped develop and market The Apprentice, which is seen in 16 countries.6

It might be true that people in different cultures are developing similar perspectives on certain issues. But it seems that just as often as we see signs of an emerging global culture, we discover some new habit unique to one culture. When that happens, we are reminded of the roles of history and tradition in defining culture. Though values and attitudes are under continually greater pressure from globalization, their transformation will be gradual rather than abrupt because they are deeply ingrained in culture.

Quick Study

1. What is meant by a culture’s aesthetics ? Give several examples.

2. How can businesses incorporate aesthetics into their Web sites?

3. Compare and contrast values and attitudes . How do cultures differ in their attitudes toward time, work, and cultural change?

4. Describe the process of cultural diffusion . Why should international businesses be sensitive to charges of cultural imperialism ?

Manners and Customs

When doing business in another culture, it is important to understand a people’s manners and customs. At a minimum, understanding manners and customs helps managers avoid making embarrassing mistakes or offending people. In-depth knowledge, meanwhile, improves the ability to negotiate in other cultures, market products effectively, and manage international operations. Let’s explore some important differences in manners and customs around the world.

Manners

Appropriate ways of behaving, speaking, and dressing in a culture are called manners . In Arab cultures that stretch from the Middle East to northwest Africa, for example, one does not extend a hand to greet an older person unless the elder first offers the greeting. In going first, a younger person would be displaying bad manners. Moreover, because Arab culture considers the left hand the one used for personal hygiene, using it to pour tea or serve a meal is considered very bad manners.

 
"Looking for a Similar Assignment? Get Expert Help at an Amazing Discount!"

Changing Regulatory Environment

Assignment 1: Individual Research and Short Paper—Changing Regulatory Environment

A company’s operating strategy continues to change as the legal and political environment changes. When Argentina’s government assessed a local tax on consumer purchases using credit cards, American Express and other U.S. companies were already facing a highly inflationary market. To make up for lost revenues, American Express began to provide revolving credit products.

In this assignment, you will use the University online library resources and Internet resources to analyze the strategies companies use to deal with a change in regulations.

  1. Select an MNC operating in the U.S. and discuss some of the implications of a changing regulatory environment, then address the following questions:
    1. How do companies evaluate market conditions for potential regulatory changes? Can this type of change be anticipated? Why or why not? What resources do companies have when faced with these types of changes?
    2. Do you think companies should withdraw from the marketplace after new legal regulations are put in place? Explain.
    3. What are the considerations companies account for prior to making any decisions?

 

  1. Select a U.S. company doing business in a foreign market, then address the following questions:
    1. What legal market conditions did the U.S. Company face and how did it deal with them?
    2. Do you think that operating in foreign markets is similar to operating in domestic markets? Why or why not?
    3. How can companies compete and survive in a marketplace despite the threat of legal restrictions and taxation?

Write a 4-pages essay in Word format. Apply current APA standards for writing to your work.
Use the following file naming convention: LastnameFirstInitial_M5_A1.doc.

By Wednesday, June 5, 2013, submit your assignment to the M5: Assignment 1 Drop box.

 

Assignment 2: Course Project Task 5—Risks of Unstable Economic Conditions (IKEA)

For this part of the project, you will examine the legal and economic implications of the strategies used by companies in unstable economic conditions.

Discuss how each of the following factors impacts your chosen MNC:

  1. Issues operating locally
    1. Customers
    2. Legal
    3. Economic
    4. Capital
  2. Issues operating in multinational marketplaces
    1. Governmental regulation from home country
    2. Sourcing products
    3. Import export restrictions
    4. Capital

The risks the client company might anticipate when operating in a changing economic and regulatory environment. Analyze the MNC’s strategy in unstable economic conditions and post your comments to.

 

By Wednesday, June 5, 2013

Module 5 Readings

Early in the week, complete the following:

· Read the overview for Module 5

· From the textbook, International business law and its environment, read the following chapters:

· Regulating Import Competition and Unfair Trade

· Imports, Customs and Tariff Law

· The Regulation of Exports

· From the Argosy University online library resources, read:

· Global food regulatory issues impacting dairy foods. (2006). Dairy Foods, 107(10), 24. Retrieved from EBSCO database http://search.ebscohost.com/ login.aspx?direct=true&db=buh&AN=22840712&site=ehost-live

· Mustokoff, T., & Segal, T. P. (2008). Commentary: Advice for taxpayers with undeclared UBS Swiss bank accounts. Rhode Island Lawyers Weekly. Retrieved from EBSCO database http://search.ebscohost.com/ login.aspx?direct=true&db=bwh&AN=L54444801RILW &site=ehost-live

· Simon, E. Y. (2008). Limited-service brands build on global success. Hotel & Motel Management, 223(3), 36–38. Retrieved from EBSCO database http://search.ebscohost.com/ login.aspx?direct=true&db=buh&AN=30065201&site=ehost-live

· Trottman, M., Williamson, E., & Casey, N. (2008). Children’s product industry put in regulatory bind. Wall Street Journal – Eastern Edition, 251(142), A3. Retrieved from ProQuest database http://proquest.umi.com/ pqdweb?did=1496424611&sid=1&Fmt=2& clientId=11123&RQT=309&VName=PQD

· From the Internet, read:

· London, T., & Hart, S. (2004, August). Reinventing strategies for emerging markets: Beyond the transnational model. Journal of International Business Studies. Retrieved from http://e4sw.org/papers/JIBS.pdf

·

http://myeclassonline.com/ec/courses/AUO_files/AU_img.gifModule 5 Overview (1 of 2)

·

http://myeclassonline.com/ec/courses/AUO_files/AU_spacer.gif

·

Can and should businesses use a successful strategy for growth across markets? Companies change their operating strategies as the legal and political environment changes. Today companies not only have to pace themselves to keep up with the changing environment, but they also need to “sprint” to stay ahead of the competition.

In 2007, Coca-Cola purchased Glaceau, the producer of Vitamin Water, for $4.1 billion. Coca-Cola purchased the company to boost its declining beverage sales in the U.S. and North American markets. After its rival PepsiCo purchased the Gatorade lineup of Quaker Oats, Coca-Cola was faced with trying to slow the drop-off in its sales. With the acquisition of Glaceau, Coca-Cola expected to increase its share in the noncarbonated drinks market, a market that currently commands double-digit growth. With its foray into the water and energy drink market, Coca-Cola had to ensure compliance with the regulatory requirements governing food and health in international markets. However, the company was already familiar with these regulations because of its other product lines such as Minute Maid Heart Wise. The other issues the company addressed were concerns about the disposable plastic bottles and import and franchise laws.

Module 5 Overview (2 of 2)

 

 

Reinventing Business: Changing Regulatory Environment

Organizations at times find it necessary to reestablish their business in existing markets because some markets may no longer be viable because of changes in existing laws and regulations.

In this module, we will assess the impact of a changing regulatory environment on organizations. For your assignment, you will compare the impact of legal and governmental regulations on an MNC operating in the U.S. and a U.S. company operating in a foreign market. You will also analyze the strategies companies use to deal with a change in regulations.

For your course project, you will investigate the strategies used by companies inunstable economic conditions. You will examine the legal and economic implications of these strategies. You will also investigate issues companies face when operating in multinational marketplaces.

 

 
"Looking for a Similar Assignment? Get Expert Help at an Amazing Discount!"

Financial Statement Analysis Assignment 3

?

 

May the Force Be With You: Wide-Moat Salesforce.com Is the Newest Software Empire The market is discounting growth opportunities and operating leverage for this software leader.

 

Executive Summary

Salesforce.com has evolved from a salesforce automation point vendor to a full-fledged cloud-based

customer relationship management, or CRM, software behemoth. The company has been the key

forerunner for software as a service, or SaaS, and we believe the firm is among the most advantageously

positioned companies in software to capitalize on the ongoing secular migration to the cloud. We think

the market is underappreciating the opportunities Salesforce has to not only grow its business via its

existing products, but also through greenfield opportunities. Salesforce has generated consistent,

annual share gains across each of its product buckets, yielding leadership positions in salesforce

automation (45% share), customer service (18%), marketing (12%), and overall CRM spending (20%).

 

We believe enterprises will increasingly look to consolidate application spending around full-featured

suites, leaving Salesforce as the most likely beneficiary in the CRM market, propping up significant top-

and bottom-line growth for several years. Beyond growth opportunities, we revisit the economics of

software as a service (introduced in our 2015 Observer The SaaS Is Greener on the Other Side: The

Economics of Cloud Application Software Companies) and Salesforce.com’s path to operating leverage.

 

Key Takeaways

Ă— Despite Salesforce.com’s abundance of success in the cloud-based customer relationship management

market, we believe the market underappreciates and underestimates the remaining CRM opportunity.

Salesforce has the most complete cloud-based customer relationship management suite to date,

including a network of applications around salesforce automation, customer service, digital marketing,

and e-commerce (via the recent $2.8 billion Demandware acquisition). This breadth should only

propagate the firm’s ability to land large, multiapplication deals.

Ă— We are encouraged by the steps Salesforce has taken to add functionality to its applications. The firm is

also branching out into new verticals, and we see ample opportunity for the firm’s platform-as-a-service

offerings in addition to newer products around the “Internet of Things” and artificial intelligence,

including the firm’s recent announcement of the Einstein AI platform.

Ă— Although many of Salesforce.com’s new initiatives contribute minimal revenue today, we believe the

connected device boom and the secular trend toward machine learning and intelligent applications

should yield ample opportunity for the firm’s Internet of Things and Einstein offerings.

 

Companies Mentioned

Name/Ticker

Economic

Moat

Moat

Trend

 

Currency

Fair Value

Estimate

Current

Price

Uncertainty

Rating

Morningstar

Rating

Market

Cap (Bil)

Salesforce.com CRM Wide Positive USD 98 75.06 High QQQQ 50.98

Morningstar Equity Research

25 October 2016

 

 

Contents

2 Overview of Salesforce’s Moat

3 Sizing Up the CRM Opportunity

9 Sales Cloud

14 Service Cloud

19 Marketing Cloud

24 Commerce Cloud

29 Summing the Parts

30 PaaS and Beyond

34 SaaS Economics and Valuation

 

Rodney Nelson

Equity Analyst

+1 312-244-7298

[email protected]

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

May the Force Be With You: Salesforce.com Is the Newest Software Empire | 25 October 2016

Healthcare Observer | 25 October 2016

Paper Title | 25 October 2016

Healthcare Observer | 25 October 2016

Paper Title | 25 October 2016

Healthcare Observer | 25 October 2016

Paper Title | 25 October 2016

Healthcare Observer | 25 October 2016

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 2 of 45

Page 2 of 45

Page 2 of 45

Page 2 of 45

Page 2 of 45

Page 2 of 45

Page 2 of 45

Page 2 of 45

Wide-Moat Salesforce.com Dominates in CRM

Salesforce.com has evolved from a salesforce automation point vendor to a full-fledged cloud-based

CRM software behemoth. The company has been the key SaaS forerunner, and we believe it is among

the most advantageously positioned companies in software to capitalize on the ongoing secular

migration to the cloud. In our view, Salesforce.com has established a wide moat based on two sources:

customer switching costs and network effect. Given the proximity to revenue-generating activities and

the interconnectedness of its products, we believe CRM applications have a high degree of switching

costs, while the use of multiple applications from the same vendor can have network-effect-like benefits.

 

We believe the Sales Cloud for salesforce automation bears the greatest degree of switching costs, a

market in which Salesforce boasts upwards of 40% market share. Sales are the lifeblood of any

organization, and Salesforce.com’s best-in-breed solution allows representatives to manage and track

their activity within their deal pipeline, while the product helps automate activity while dictating the

best course of action with a given prospect.

 

We also believe the service (for multichannel customer service management), marketing (for

multichannel campaign management, targeting, and analytics), and commerce (for business-to-

consumer digital commerce platform build-outs) clouds each bear a meaningful degree of switching

costs, particularly as vendors look to take a unified approach across multiple channels to engage and

retain customers. To this end, 70% of Salesforce.com’s top 200 customers use four or more of its cloud

products, up from just 13% of its top 40 customers four years ago (Salesforce also offers several

products geared toward application development and greenfield opportunities, housed under the App

Cloud). We believe this growth in attach rates also serves as evidence for our positive moat trend rating,

as we believe customers are increasingly locked in to the platform as they adopt additional products.

 

We are also heartened by Salesforce.com’s thought leadership, yielding constant upgrades to its CRM

solutions and innovative features such as intelligent lead scoring and predictive analytics, making it far

more difficult for customers to abandon its products. Further, as more users come into the Salesforce

network, both Salesforce and its users benefit. In the case of the former, Salesforce receives more

feedback and data to improve all of its products, while more application developers in Salesforce.com’s

App Cloud yields a greater number of useful business applications in the firm’s AppExchange, which we

believe is the largest online enterprise application software marketplace live today.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

May the Force Be With You: Salesforce.com Is the Newest Software Empire | 25 October 2016

Healthcare Observer | 25 October 2016

Paper Title | 25 October 2016

Healthcare Observer | 25 October 2016

Paper Title | 25 October 2016

Healthcare Observer | 25 October 2016

Paper Title | 25 October 2016

Healthcare Observer | 25 October 2016

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 3 of 45

Page 3 of 45

Page 3 of 45

Page 3 of 45

Page 3 of 45

Page 3 of 45

Page 3 of 45

Page 3 of 45

Sizing Up Salesforce.com’s Core CRM Opportunity

Customer Relationship Management Market Overview

CRM software is vital to both revenue-generating and customer interaction activities for businesses of

all sizes. As enterprises look to become more tactical in their sales, marketing, and customer service

practices, firms are turning toward innovative software platforms to track and gather insight into not

only their customers, prospects, and deal pipelines, but to also understand best practices for providing

service, extracting maximum value out of its relationships by upselling and cross-selling to additional

products and services, and creating, targeting, and managing marketing campaigns. As a result, the

CRM software vertical received an overwhelming share of the $156 billion spent on application software

in 2015, excluding the highly fragmented vertical-specific software market.

 

Exhibit 1 CRM and ERP Dominated the $156 Billion Application Market in 2015

 

Source: Gartner, Morningstar research

 

While the market outlay exceeded $25 billion on customer relationship management software in 2015,

we think this market opportunity is still several years from reaching its peak spending levels. There are

three key waves propagating growth rates for CRM spending, including:

 

Business Intelligence

and Analytics 11%

Customer Relationship

Mgmt. (CRM) 18%

Digital Content Creation

2%

Enterprise Content

Management 4%

Enterprise Resource

Planning (ERP) 19%

Office Suites

11%

Other Application

Software 23%

Project and Portfolio

Management 2%

Supply Chain

Management 7%

Web Conferencing,

Collaboration/Social Software Suites

3%

 

 

 

 

 

 

May the Force Be With You: Salesforce.com Is the Newest Software Empire | 25 October 2016

Healthcare Observer | 25 October 2016

Paper Title | 25 October 2016

Healthcare Observer | 25 October 2016

Paper Title | 25 October 2016

Healthcare Observer | 25 October 2016

Paper Title | 25 October 2016

Healthcare Observer | 25 October 2016

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 4 of 45

Page 4 of 45

Page 4 of 45

Page 4 of 45

Page 4 of 45

Page 4 of 45

Page 4 of 45

Page 4 of 45

1. Enterprises moving away from internally developed CRM systems.

Ă— The source code for proprietary, internally developed CRM systems can date back multiple

decades, and they generally lack crucial functionality including modern, intuitive user

interfaces, built-in analytics, and the ability to tap into CRM data from other applications via

APIs. We suspect this wave will fully play out over the next several years as enterprises

address points of weakness in the IT infrastructure.

 

2. Software as a way to improve business processes.

Ă— Small businesses frequently retrofit generic business applications (such as Excel) for other

uses, including customer relationship management. These processes are generally

completed via manual data entry and updating, costing businesses valuable time that could

be spent engaging its customers. While this wave is a much more fragmented opportunity,

we expect small and midsize businesses to continually look to software for operational

improvements as growth materializes, while larger enterprises turn to software as a means

of improving the customer experience and capitalize on greenfield opportunities.

 

3. Software as a way to save costs via the cloud.

Ă— Beyond improving business processes, cloud computing has allowed enterprises to eliminate

costly infrastructure (in the form of underutilized physical hardware, maintenance, and IT

management headcount). Despite torrid growth for many cloud vendors, this wave remains

in the early stages, particularly in international markets where cloud adoption has lagged

North American markets. We estimate that shifting to the cloud can save customers as much

as 30% on their total IT costs over the long run, largely derived from downsizing on-premises

data center hardware and IT staffing required to run and maintain legacy software

applications.

 

These three waves largely underpin our expectations for application software growth over the next

several years. Further, organizations are increasingly embracing the value of each step of the customer

relationship journey, which has yielded CRM growth well above the overall application market growth

rate for several years, a trend we expect to continue for several years. Research firm Gartner estimates

that the CRM market (which covers most of Salesforce.com’s core products, including salesforce

automation, customer service, marketing, and digital commerce) will grow at a compounded annual rate

of just over 14% through 2020, well ahead of the broader application market (8.6%), making CRM the

largest application spending category.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

May the Force Be With You: Salesforce.com Is the Newest Software Empire | 25 October 2016

Healthcare Observer | 25 October 2016

Paper Title | 25 October 2016

Healthcare Observer | 25 October 2016

Paper Title | 25 October 2016

Healthcare Observer | 25 October 2016

Paper Title | 25 October 2016

Healthcare Observer | 25 October 2016

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 5 of 45

Page 5 of 45

Page 5 of 45

Page 5 of 45

Page 5 of 45

Page 5 of 45

Page 5 of 45

Page 5 of 45

Exhibit 2 Midteens Growth Will Make Customer Relationship Management the Largest Application Vertical by 2020

 

Source: Gartner, Morningstar research

 

At a midteens growth rate, Gartner estimates that spending on customer relationship management will

exceed $50 billion in 2020, or roughly one fourth of its global enterprise application spending estimate of

more than $215 billion. However, exhibits 1 and 2 do not delineate between cloud and legacy on-

premises applications. While organizations have been more hesitant to move some applications to the

cloud (such as financial management applications within the ERP suite, though this trepidation is

gradually abating), Salesforce has helped lead the migration to the cloud for CRM applications, making it

the most heavily deployed application vertical in cloud-based environments today. Of the nearly $31

billion spent on software as a service in 2015, 39% was allocated toward CRM applications, a number

Gartner expects to inflate to 43% by 2020.

 

Business Intelligence

and Analytics 11%

Customer Relationship

Mgmt. (CRM) 24%

Digital Content Creation

2%

Enterprise Content

Management 4%

Enterprise Resource

Planning (ERP) 17%

Office Suites

10%

Other Application

Software 21%

Project and Portfolio

Management 1%

Supply Chain

Management 7%

Web Conferencing,

Collaboration/Social Software Suites

3%

 

 

 

 

 

 

May the Force Be With You: Salesforce.com Is the Newest Software Empire | 25 October 2016

Healthcare Observer | 25 October 2016

Paper Title | 25 October 2016

Healthcare Observer | 25 October 2016

Paper Title | 25 October 2016

Healthcare Observer | 25 October 2016

Paper Title | 25 October 2016

Healthcare Observer | 25 October 2016

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 6 of 45

Page 6 of 45

Page 6 of 45

Page 6 of 45

Page 6 of 45

Page 6 of 45

Page 6 of 45

Page 6 of 45

Exhibit 3 In 2020, the $75 Billion SaaS Market Will Still Be Dominated by CRM

 

Source: Gartner, Morningstar research

 

While enterprises are all at different stages of the cloud migration, we believe that the IT community is

generally in the early stages of moving legacy workloads into the cloud. Even with torrid growth through

2020, Gartner estimates that just 5% of total IT spending worldwide will be geared toward cloud-based

services. Admittedly, certain data stores and application workloads will need to stay out of multitenant,

public cloud infrastructure because of regulations around security and data sovereignty, but we believe

most core enterprise applications will eventually migrate to the cloud.

 

We think it is important to distinguish between SaaS and on-premises CRM spending growth for that

reason, at least as a point of reference, particularly since Salesforce.com offers its products only via the

SaaS delivery model, while legacy vendors such as Oracle and SAP scramble to reconfigure legacy

applications for the cloud. Over the next five years, we expect the mix between on-premises and SaaS

CRM spending to increasingly tilt toward the cloud, with the SaaS spending growth rate coming in well

above that of on-premises expenditures. Specifically, Gartner estimates that SaaS CRM spending will

grow at a compounded annual rate of 21% over the next five years. We believe that Salesforce.com’s

best-in-breed CRM portfolio will be the largest beneficiary of this growth, which could make our base-

case estimate of 19% compounded annual revenue growth over the next five years for the firm’s core

CRM applications (including Sales, Service, Marketing, and Commerce clouds) look conservative. Given

the mission-criticality and revenue-generating functions to which these applications are tied, along with

dollar attrition rates across the entire Salesforce.com portfolio of less than 9%, we believe these factors

in totality support our belief that Salesforce.com’s customers bear a large degree of switching costs,

underpinning our wide moat rating.

 

Business Intelligence

Applications 6%

Customer Relationship

Management 43%

Digital Content Creation

3% Enterprise Content

Management 2%

Enterprise Resource

Planning 13%

Office Suites

4%

Other Application

Software 13%

Project and Portfolio

Management 2%

Supply Chain

Management 7%

Web Conferencing,

Teaming Platforms, and Social Software Suites

7%

 

 

 

 

 

 

May the Force Be With You: Salesforce.com Is the Newest Software Empire | 25 October 2016

Healthcare Observer | 25 October 2016

Paper Title | 25 October 2016

Healthcare Observer | 25 October 2016

Paper Title | 25 October 2016

Healthcare Observer | 25 October 2016

Paper Title | 25 October 2016

Healthcare Observer | 25 October 2016

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 7 of 45

Page 7 of 45

Page 7 of 45

Page 7 of 45

Page 7 of 45

Page 7 of 45

Page 7 of 45

Page 7 of 45

Exhibit 4 Gartner: CRM SaaS Spending Will Grow at a 21% CAGR Over the Next Five Years Versus Just 7% for On-Premises Spending and 18% for Salesforce

Source: Gartner, Morningstar research

Note: “M* Salesforce Sales” includes our subscription revenue forecasts for the Salesforce.com’s sales, Service, Marketing, And Commerce clouds only; does not include App Cloud/other sales.

 

Leaders in this space include most of the usual suspects in the software industry, such as Microsoft,

Oracle, and SAP. However, many of the application vendors that once dominated the CRM vertical

largely rely on legacy on-premises applications. Vendors such as Oracle and SAP are racing against the

clock to retrofit these solutions and mash them together with acquired SaaS technologies to create a

complete cloud-based offering, but so far we believe those organizations are taking a back seat (from a

revenue and technological reliability and scalability perspective) in the SaaS wars versus cloud-native

firms such as Salesforce.com, particularly at the high end of the more than $25 billion market.

 

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

CY 2014 CY 2015 CY 2016 (Est.) CY 2017 (Est.) CY 2018 (Est.) CY 2019 (Est.) CY 2020 (Est.)

Salesforce Sales* Cloud-Based CRM Spending On-Premises CRM Spending Salesforce Growth Cloud-Based CRM Growth On-Premises CRM Growth

 

 

 

 

 

 

May the Force Be With You: Salesforce.com Is the Newest Software Empire | 25 October 2016

Healthcare Observer | 25 October 2016

Paper Title | 25 October 2016

Healthcare Observer | 25 October 2016

Paper Title | 25 October 2016

Healthcare Observer | 25 October 2016

Paper Title | 25 October 2016

Healthcare Observer | 25 October 2016

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 8 of 45

Page 8 of 45

Page 8 of 45

Page 8 of 45

Page 8 of 45

Page 8 of 45

Page 8 of 45

Page 8 of 45

Exhibit 5 Salesforce.com’s CRM Success Has Come at the Expense of Its Rivals

 

Source: Gartner, Morningstar research

 

Based on Gartner’s estimates, just 22% of application software expenditures were allocated toward

software-as-a-service solutions. While this number should surge in general across software, we suspect

that the migration of CRM suites could accelerate even beyond Gartner’s expectations, particularly as

application software vendors like Salesforce.com look to build new functionality into its products such as

embedded analytics, artificial intelligence, and use cases around the Internet of Things that could help

further consolidate IT spending. We believe this type of thought leadership can provide greenfield

opportunities for Salesforce.com’s products, ultimately creating the potential to expand its total available

market beyond Gartner’s estimates. Over the next several sections, we explore these themes, along with

the state of each of Salesforce.com’s existing CRM products and their respective opportunities and

challenges.

 

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

CY 2010 CY 2011 CY 2012 CY 2013 CY 2014 CY 2015

Salesforce.com SAP Oracle Microsoft IBM Adobe

 

 

 

 

 

 

May the Force Be With You: Salesforce.com Is the Newest Software Empire | 25 October 2016

Healthcare Observer | 25 October 2016

Paper Title | 25 October 2016

Healthcare Observer | 25 October 2016

Paper Title | 25 October 2016

Healthcare Observer | 25 October 2016

Paper Title | 25 October 2016

Healthcare Observer | 25 October 2016

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 9 of 45

Page 9 of 45

Page 9 of 45

Page 9 of 45

Page 9 of 45

Page 9 of 45

Page 9 of 45

Page 9 of 45

Parting the Clouds

Sales Cloud

Sales Cloud is Salesforce.com’s flagship salesforce automation application, or SFA. Introduced in 1999,

the product is the firm’s most mature offering. Sales Cloud allows salespeople to track deal pipelines,

manage interactions, and gain access to contact information for customers and prospects alike. Over the

years, Salesforce.com has added increased functionality to the platform via both internally developed

 
"Looking for a Similar Assignment? Get Expert Help at an Amazing Discount!"

Finance Project-9 Page-On Swap/Option/Forwards

You will write a 9-page project in which you do three case studies. The case

studies may or may not come from the Global Derivatives Debacles book. One case must be related to Forwards/Futures, one to swaps, and one to options. For this project,  you  will  choose  real-life  examples  and  will  find  in  practice  how

companies/industries  use  the  financial  instruments  discussed  in  class.  My

preference is for a description of how the use of a derivative was relevant in

understanding a historical event (a financial crisis, a big company collapsing

because of bad risk taking or fraud, how a city was rebuilt, or a war financed,

how a historical circumstance gave rise to the creation a derivative…) Citing

your sources will be crucial for a good grade. I want to see that you looked at

financial  news  and  respectable  sources  to  find  the  information  needed.  The

project can be written in groups of 2, or individually.

*If, and only if, you turn in a case for “evaluation” before the exam for

that section, I will give you feedback. All three cases must be turned in as

one project at the end of the semester.

Rubric for project grade:

– Good topic and supporting articles

20%

– Detailed and clear explanation

60%

– Organized presentation and format

10%

– Completeness & length

10%

Info on project

If you choose to do as case study one of the stories in the suggested book, which I highly encourage, this suggestions are for you:

– Your case study should consist on: a brief summary of what happened plus a detailed answer to the questions at the end of the chapter. (Each story in the book ends with a list of questions that can be answered with the information in the chapter).

– Skim all the cases and read twice the one you choose for each type of derivative. First, go through the details and try to figure out what happened. Write down what you don’t understand and come to my office to ask me. Then, go back to the chapter looking for the particular answers to the questions at the end.

– Each case study should be around 3-4 pages, 1.5 or double spaced. Use times new roman or book antiqua,  size 12. 1-inch margins. Any graphs can be hand made, but very tidy. The graphs are not part of the 3-4 pages measure.

– For the entire project (the 3 cases put together), do a cover page, and a content page. Put graphs/appendix at the end of each case.

– Use your own words to explain things. I have the book, I don’t need you to type whole sentences from the chapter. I want your version, in your words, of what you understand happened.

Due date: Dec 12 at noon. In my office. Printed copy. NO EMAILING.

GLOBAL DERIVATIVE DEBACLES

From Theory to Malpractice

Second Edition

2

 

 

GLOBAL DERIVATIVE DEBACLES

From Theory to Malpractice

Second Edition

Laurent L Jacque Tufts University, USA & HEC School of Management, France

3

 

 

Published by

World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd. 5 Toh Tuck Link, Singapore 596224 USA office: 27 Warren Street, Suite 401-402, Hackensack, NJ 07601 UK office: 57 Shelton Street, Covent Garden, London WC2H 9HE

Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Jacque, Laurent L.

Global derivative debacles : from theory to malpractice / by Laurent L. Jacque. — Second Edition.

pages cm Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 978-9814663243 (alk. paper) — ISBN 978-9814663267 (alk. paper)

1. Derivative securities. 2. Finance. I. Title. HG6024.A3J335 2015 332.64’57–dc23

2015005685

British Library Cataloguing-in-Publication Data A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library.

Copyright © 2015 by World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd.

All rights reserved. This book, or parts thereof, may not be reproduced in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording or any information storage and retrieval system now known or to be invented, without written permission from the publisher.

4

 

 

For photocopying of material in this volume, please pay a copying fee through the Copyright Clearance Center, Inc., 222 Rosewood Drive, Danvers, MA 01923, USA. In this case permission to photocopy is not required from the publisher.

In-house Editor: Sandhya Venkatesh

Typeset by Stallion Press Email: [email protected]

Printed in Singapore

5

 

 

A la mémoire de ma mère.

6

 

 

PREFACE

At a time when the global financial system is engulfed into the mother of all financial crises, it is indeed tempting and opportune to charge derivatives for creating mayhem. Are derivatives indeed “the financial weapons of mass destruction” as vilified by Warren Buffet? This book is not another treatise on financial derivatives. The purpose of this project instead is to unlock the secrets of mystifying derivatives by telling the stories of institutions, which played in the derivative market and lost big. For some of them, it was honest but flawed financial engineering which brought them havoc. For others, it was unbridled speculation perpetrated by rogue traders, whose unchecked fraud brought their house down.

Each story is unique reflecting in part the idiosyncratic circumstances of derivative use and/or misuse but, as the reader will discover, a number of key themes keep reappearing under various guises: flawed financial engineering, poor auditing, ill-designed risk management and control systems, weak governance, old-fashioned fraud … Each chapter addresses one major derivative debacle by first narrating the story before deconstructing the financial architecture behind the debacle. In the process, the reader will become acquainted with institutions encompassing universal banks, hedge funds, industrial firms, trading companies and municipalities, and their lead character or villain. Like many I find myself mesmerized by the ingenuity of these infamous derivatives and the saga of powerful institutions in the hands of which they misfired: This book is their story.

7

 

 

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

Over the years, research projects, consulting assignments and discussions with many savvy executives and academics have helped me challenge received wisdom in the area of financial engineering, risk management and derivatives: for their insight this book is a better one. Most notably I wish to thank Daniel Ades (Kawa Fund), Y.D. Ahn (Daewoo), Blaise Allaz (HEC), Bruce Benson (Barings), Alex Bongrain (Bongrain S.A.), Charles Bravler (Oliver Wyman), James Breech (Cougar Investments), Eric Bryis (Cyberlibris), Gaylen Byker (Inter-Oil Corporation), Brian Casabianca (International Finance Corporation), Asavin Chintakananda (Stock Exchange of Thailand), Georg Ehrensperger (Garantia), Myron Glucksman (Citicorp), Anthony Gribe (J.P. Hottinguer & Cie), Charamporn Jotishkatira (Thai Airways International), Minsoo Jung (Chatham Financial), Margaret Loebl (ADM), Robert Kiernan (Advanced Portfolio Management), Oliver Kratz (Global Thematic Partners), Rodney McLauchlan (Bankers Trust), Avinash Persaud (State Street), Gabriel Hawawini (INSEAD), Jacques Olivier (HEC), Craig Owen (Campbell Soup), Guadalupe Philips (Televisa), Christoph Schmid (Bio-Oils), Jorge Ramirez (Aon Risk Solutions), John Schwarz (Citicorp), Manoj Shahi, Pat Schena (Tufts University), Sung Cheng Shih (GIC, Singapore), Roland Portait (ESSEC), Rishad Sadikot (Cambridge Associates), Charles Tapiero (NYU Polytechnic School of Engineering), Adrian Tschoegl (Wharton School), Georgi Tsekov (Standard Chartered Bank), Philip Uhlmann (Bentley College), Seck Wai Kwong (State Street), Ibrahim Warde (Tufts University) and Lawrence Weiss (Tufts University).

8

 

 

I am indebted to several individuals who selflessly read and edited several versions of the manuscript and wish to express my appreciation to David Aldama, Darius Haworon, Ellen MacDonald, Manoj Shahi, Scott Strand and Rajeev Sawant. Timely help for graphics and word-processing from Jordan Fabiansky, Martin Klupilek and Lupita Ervin is gratefully acknowledged. Last but not least I wish to thank my editor in chief — Olivier Jacque — who painstakingly reviewed the entire manuscript and asked all the hard questions.

Yet with so much help from so many I am still searching for the ultimate derivative which would hedge me from all remaining errors: but there is no escape — they are all mine.

LLJ Winchester and Paris

January 2015

9

 

 

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Laurent L. Jacque is the Walter B. Wriston Professor of International Finance & Banking at the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy (Tufts University) and Director of its International Business Studies Program. He previously served as Fletcher’s Academic Dean and as such was responsible for the design and the establishment of the new Master of International Business degree and the Center for Emerging Market Enterprises. Since 1990 he has also held a secondary appointment at the HEC School of Management (France) as a Professor of Economics, Finance, and International Business. Earlier, he served on the faculty of the Wharton School (University of Pennsylvania) for eleven years where he held a joint appointment in the Management and Finance departments and the Carlson School (University of Minnesota). He also held visiting appointment at Instituto de Empresa (Spain), Pacific Management Institute (University of Hawaii), Institut Superieur de Gestion (University of Tunis), Kiel Institute of World Economics (Germany), and Chulalongkorn University (Thailand) as The Sophonpanich Research Professor in Finance and Banking.

He is the author of four books, International Corporate Finance: Value Creation with Currency Derivatives in Global Capital Markets (John Wiley & Sons, 2014), Global Derivative Debacles: From Theory to Malpractice (World Scientific, 2010) translated in French, Russian, Chinese and Korean, Management and Control of Foreign Exchange Risk (Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1996), Management of Foreign Exchange Risk: Theory and Praxis (Lexington Books, 1978) as well as more than 25 articles on International Risk Management Multinational Control Systems, Capital Markets, which have appeared in the Journal of International Business Studies, Management Science, Journal of Risk and Insurance, Journal of Operations Research Society,

10

 

 

Columbia Journal of World Business, Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, Insurance Mathematics and Economics, etc. He served as an advisor and consultant to the Foreign Exchange Rate Forecasting Service of Wharton Econometrics, Forecasting Associates and as a member of Water Technologies Inc.’s board of directors. He is currently serving as a senior advisor to the Bharti Institute of Public Policy (Indian School of Business) and is a member of the Institute’s advisory board.

A recipient of five teaching awards at The Wharton and Carlson Schools, Jacque also recently won the James L. Paddock award for teaching excellence at The Fletcher School and the Europe-wide HEC-CEMS award in 2008. He is a consultant to a number of firms and the IFC (World Bank) in the area of banking, corporate finance and risk management and has taught in many Management Development Programs, including Manufacturers Hanover Trust, Merck, Sharp & Dohme, Philadelphia National Bank, General Motors, Bunge and Born (Brazil), Rhone-Poulenc (France), Siam Commercial Bank (Thailand), Daewoo (South Korea), General Electric, Dupont de Nemours, Norwest Bank, Bangkok Bank (Thailand), INSEAD, Pechiney and Petrobras (Brazil).

Laurent Jacque is a graduate of HEC (Paris) and received his MA, MBA and PhD from the Wharton School (University of Pennsylvania).

11

 

 

CONTENTS

Preface

Acknowledgements

About the Author

List of Figures

List of Tables

List of Boxes

Chapter 1: Derivatives and the Wealth of Nations

What are Derivatives?

A Brief History of Derivatives

Derivatives and the Wealth of Nations

Organization of the Book

Bibliography

PART I: FORWARDS

12

 

 

Chapter 2: Showa Shell Sekiyu K.K.

“Shell-Shocked By Shell Games”: The Showa Shell Debacle

Hedging Currency Risk at Oil Companies

The Mechanics of Hedging Dollar Exchange Rate Risk and Oil Price Risk

Was Showa Shell Hedging or Speculating?

Concealing Currency Losses

The Story Unfolds

Forecasting Exchange Rates: Treacherous at Best

The Moral of the Story

Chapter 3: Citibank’s Forex Losses

Currency Trading in the Tranquil Days of Bretton Woods

Gambling on Currencies with Forward Contracts

How Do Banks Keep a Lid on Their Foreign Exchange Trading Operations?

Speculating from a Commercial Bank’s Trading Desk: When Citibank is Not Quite a Hedge Fund à La Georges Soros

Hasty and Costly Conclusion

The Moral of the Story

Chapter 4: Bank Negara Malaysia

What is Central Banking All About?

Bank Negara as a Macro-Hedge Fund

How Did Bank Negara Speculate?

PART II: FUTURES

Chapter 5: Amaranth Advisors LLC

The Rise and Fall of Amaranth Advisors LLC

13

 

 

Genesis of Natural Gas Derivatives

A Primer on Speculating in Natural Gas Derivatives

The Alchemy of Speculation Through Natural Gas Futures

The Story Unfolds: Amaranth Speculative Assault on Nymex

Risk Management at Amaranth

The Moral of the Story

Postscript

Chapter 6: Metallgesellschaft

The Metallgesellschaft Debacle

The “Long and Short” of Hedging in the Oil Market

Numerical Illustration of “Ebbs & Flows” Under a “Stack & Roll” Hedge

The “Message is in the Entrails”: Empirics of the Oil Market (1983–2002)

If Only MGRM had been Allowed to Roll the Dice

When a Hedge is a Gamble: Was MGRM Hedging or Speculating?

MGRM as a Market Maker

The Moral of the Story

Bibliography

Chapter 7: Sumitomo

Was Sumitomo Manipulating Copper Prices?

Alarm Bells

Debacle

Postscript

PART III: OPTIONS

14

 

 

Chapter 8: Allied Lyons

A New Mission for Allied Lyons Treasury Department

A Primer on Currency Options: Was Allied Lyons Hedging or Speculating?

Selling Volatility: Allied-Lyons “Deadly Game”

Alarm Bells are Ignored as the Story Unfolds

The Moral of the Story

Appendix: Pricing Currency Options

Chapter 9: Allied Irish Banks

Rusnak and Currency Trading at Allfirst

Gambling on Currencies with Forward Contracts

Arbitraging the Forward and Option Market: The International Put-Call Parity Theorem

The Art of Concealment

When Alarm Bells are Ignored

The Moral of the Story

Epilogue

Bibliography

Chapter 10: Barings

The Rise and Fall of the House of Barings

Rogue Trader

Arbitrage

From Harmless Arbitrage to Lethal Speculation

A Primer on How to Speculate with Options

Financing Margin Calls by Selling Volatility

15

 

 

Warning Bells

The Art of Concealment

The Moral of the Story: Leeson’s Seven Lessons

Epilogue

Bibliography

Chapter 11: Société Générale

The Making of a Rogue Trader

From Arbitrage to Directional Trades

Hasty Conclusion

When Alarm Bells are Ignored

The Art of Concealment

The Moral of the Story

Postscript

Bibliography

PART IV: SWAPS

Chapter 12: Procter & Gamble

How to Reduce Financing Costs with Levered Interest Rate Swaps

Embedded Options and Hidden Risks

Landmark Lawsuit

The Moral of the Story

Bibliography

Chapter 13: Gibson Greeting Cards

Chapter 14: Orange County

16

 

 

Municipal Finance in Orange County

A Primer on Fixed Income Securities

Anatomy of Orange County Asset Portfolio

OCIP as a Hedge Fund

Double Jeopardy: How Orange County Collapsed

Was Filing for Bankruptcy Warranted?

The Moral of the Story

Epilogue

Bibliography

Chapter 15: Long-Term Capital Management

What are Hedge Funds?

The Rise of Long-Term Capital Management

The Alchemy of Finance

Relative Value or Convergence Trades

The Central Bank of Volatility

Straying Away from the Master Plan

The Fall of LTCM

The Rescue of LTCM

The Moral of the Story

Epilogue

Bibliography

Chapter 16: AIG

Securitization and Credit Default Swaps

17

 

 

What are Credit Default Swaps (CDSs)?

A Stealth Hedge Fund at AIG

The Moral of the Story

Postscript

Chapter 17: JP Morgan Chase London Whale

The JP Morgan Chase Fortress

A Primer on Credit Default Swaps and Their Extended Family

The London Whale: The Story Unfolds

Hedge Funds Harpoon the London Whale

A Stealth Hedge Fund?

The Art of Concealment

The Moral of the Story

Postscript

Chapter 18: From Theory to Malpractice: Lessons Learned

Some First Principles

Policy Recommendations for Non-Financial Firms

Policy Recommendations for Financial Institutions

Policy Recommendations for Investors

Policy Recommendations for Regulators

Index

18

 

 

LIST OF FIGURES

Chapter 1 Figure 1 Percent change in yen/USD exchange rate

Chapter 2 Figure 1 Monthly spot oil prices (1989–1993) Figure 2 Yen price of the dollar (1989–1994) Figure 3 Showa Shell’s economic exposure Figure 4 Forward rates as unbiased predictors of future spot exchange rates.

Monthly Data 30 day Forward vs. Spot Yen per Dollar

Chapter 3 Figure 1 $/£ exchange rate fluctuations (1964–1965) Figure 2 $/£ exchange rate vs. US and UK interest rates (1964–1965)

Chapter 5 Figure 1 Excessive Speculation in the Natural Gas Market Figure 2 Back-testing calendar spread speculation Figure 3 Natural gas futures prices Figure 4 U.S. natural gas, monthly production Figure 5 Natural gas in storage

19

 

 

Figure 6 Amaranth’s outstanding futures positions Figure 7 Amaranth’s gas contracts for November Figure 8 Amaranth’s open interest in natural gas contracts Figure 9 January/November futures price spreads 2002–2006 Figure 10 Amaranth’s outstanding futures positions

Chapter 6 Figure 1 Unhedged “short” oil positions years 1–10 Figure 2 Hedged oil positions years 1–10 Figure 3 Stack of futures in year 0 to hedge short position years 1–10 Figure 4 Stack and roll Figure 5 (A) Example of a market in backwardation

(B) Example of a market in contango Figure 6 (A) Average monthly crude oil backwardation

(B) Average monthly heating oil backwardation (C) Average monthly gasoline backwardation

Figure 7 Cash flows from hedged oil deliveries Figure 8 Cash flows from “Stacking and Rolling” futures hedge

Chapter 8 Figure 1 Buying and writing put options Figure 2 Hedging with put options Figure 3 Buying and writing call options Figure 4 Writing a covered call option Figure 5 Value of a sterling call option prior of maturity Figure 6 Daily exchange rates (in US $/ÂŁ) Figure 7 Daily volatility for US $/ÂŁ Figure 8 Writing a straddle Figure 9 Writing a strangle

Chapter 9 Figure 1 Payoff from speculating through a forward contract

20

 

 

Figure 2 Yen/dollar exchange rate 1996–2001 Figure 3 (A) Creating a synthetic forward contact

(B) Arbitrage profit (C) International put-call parity

Figure 4 Yen call option + yen forward = yen put

Chapter 10 Figure 1 Profit loss profile of going long on Nikkei 225 index futures Figure 2 Cumulative losses on Nikkei 225 futures Figure 3 Cumulative losses on Japanese government bond futures Figure 4 Payoff of put option on Nikkei 225 index futures Figure 5 Payoff of call option on Nikkei 225 index futures Figure 6 Value of a call option premium Figure 7 Payoff from writing a straddle Figure 8 Payoff from writing a strangle Figure 9 Combining a straddle and a long position Figure 10 Leeson’s cumulative losses due to selling/writing options

Chapter 11 Figure 1 Buying a covered call option = buying a naked put Figure 2 Date of Kerviel’s manager departure (23/01/07) Figure 3 Kerviel’s “actual” trading Figure 4 Estimated amount of fictitious gains/losses created by Kerviel Figure 5 Total cumulated cash paid by SoGen to FIMAT

Chapter 12 Figure 1 The Proctor & Gamble — Bankers Trust interest rate swap Figure 2 Writing put options on US treasuries

Chapter 14 Figure 1 Path of interest rates Figure 2 Distribution of possible gains and losses on OCIP

21

 

 

Chapter 15 Figure 1 LTCM’s performance Figure 2 Payoff from writing a straddle Figure 3 Payoff from writing a strangle

Chapter 16 Figure 1 Building Blocks of securitization

Chapter 17 Figure 1 Credit Default Swaps (CDSs) Figure 2 Credit spreads Figure 3 Value-at-Risk for the Chief Investment Office (CIO Global 10Q

V@R) Figure 4 Grout Spreadsheet showing variance between reported losses and

fair market losses

22

 

 

LIST OF TABLES

Chapter 1 Table 1 Contents of the Book

Chapter 3 Table 1 Matrix of currency positions by maturity

Chapter 6 Table 1 Cash flow gain/loss from hedging through “stacking and rolling” oil

futures Table 2 Oil price decline overshoots backwardation discount Table 3 Oil price decline undershoots contango premium

Chapter 10 Table 1 Funding provided to Leeson’s BFS Table 2 Fact versus fantasy: Profitablity of Leeson’s trading activities Table 3 Fantasy versus fact: Leeson’s positions at end of February 1995

Chapter 12 Table 1 Simulations on the Procter & Gamble’s leveraged swap Table 2 Multiple scenario analysis

23

 

 

Chapter 13 Table 1 LIBOR

Chapter 14 Table 1 OCIP assets portfolio Table 2 Balance sheet of Orange County Investment Pool

Chapter 15 Table 1 LTCM partners Table 2 LTCM losses according to the nature of its trades

Chapter 17 Table 1 SCP portfolio performance under bullish and bearish scenarios Table 2 Compensation of SCP key employees in millions of dollars

Chapter 18 Table 1 Vulnerability to derivative debacles for non-financial firms Table 2 Vulnerability to derivative malpractice for financial institutions

24

 

 

LIST OF BOXES

Chapter 2 Box A The Oil Market Box B What Are Forward Contracts? Box C How to Hedge a $300 Million Monthly Oil Bill? Box D Valuing Forward Exchange Rates and the Interest Rate Parity

Theory

Chapter 3 Box A The Bretton Woods System of Fixed Exchange Rates Box B What Are Forward Contracts? Box C Valuing Forward Exchange Rates and the Interest Rate Parity

Theory

Chapter 4 Box A Central Banks’ Intervention in Currency Markets Box B The European Monetary System (EMS) and the European Exchange

Rate Mechanism (ERM)

Chapter 5 Box A What are Hedge Funds?

25

 

 

Box B The US Natural Gas Industry Box C Gas Futures Box D Options on Gas Futures Box E What are Weather Derivatives? Box F What is Open Interest? Box G Value-at-Risk (V@R)

Chapter 6 Box A The Oil Market Box B What are Forward Contracts? Box C Oil Futures Box D What is Different Between Forward and Futures Contracts Box E Optimal Hedge Ratio

Chapter 7 Box A The London Metal Exchange (LME) Box B Silver Price Manipulations and the Demise of the Hunt Brothers

Chapter 8 Box A Currency Option Contracts Box B Valuation of Currency Options Box C Volatility and the Value of Options

Chapter 9 Box A Proprietary Trading Box B What Are Forward Contracts? Box C What Are Currency Options Box D Basel II and Capital Charges for Proprietary Trading

Chapter 10 Box A Front and Back Offices Box B What is a Nikkei 225 Index Futures?

26

 

 

Box C Interest Rates, Bond Prices and Japanese Government Bond Futures Box D Valuation of Stock Index Futures Options Box E Volatility and the Value of Options

Chapter 11 Box A Front, Middle, and Back Offices Box B Turbo Warrant Box C What is a Stock Index Futures? Box D What is a Short Sale?

Chapter 12 Box A What are Interest Rate Swaps? Box B Bond Valuation Box C Put Options on Interest Rates Box D Interest Rate Swap on Deutsche Mark (DM)

Chapter 14 Box A Bond Valuation Box B What Are Hedge Funds? Box C Repurchase Agreements (Repos) and Reverse Repurchase

Agreements Box D Leverage as a Double-Edged Sword Box E Collateral Call Box F Value-at-Risk (V@R)

Chapter 15 Box A Hedge Funds’ Unorthodox Investment Strategies Box B Interest Rates and Bond Prices Box C What is a Short Sale? Box D What are Interest Rate Swaps? Box E The Extended Family of “Converging Spreads” Box F Volatility and the Value of Options

27

 

 

Chapter 16 Box A What is Securitization? Box B How Do Credit Default Swaps Differ from Bond Insurance?

Chapter 17 Box A Capital Adequacy Ratios (CARs) Box B CDS Spreads and Bond Yields Box C Trading Credit Default Swaps Box D Risk-weighted Assets (RWAs) Box E Value-at-Risk (V@R) Box F What are hedge funds?

Chapter 18 Box A Operational Risk Box B The Volcker Rule

28

 

 

1 DERIVATIVES AND THE WEALTH OF

NATIONS

Derivatives are financial weapons of mass destruction. Warren Buffet

At a time when the world economy is engulfed into the mother of all financial crises, it is indeed tempting and opportune to find derivatives guilty as charged for creating financial chaos. This book is not an indictment of financial derivatives to be feared as “financial weapons of mass destruction” nor is it a call for multilateral disarmament or signing a nonproliferation treaty! Derivatives may be feared but they cannot be avoided nor ignored (abstinence is not an option) as they permeate many of the key goods and services which are at the core of modern life: for example, the price of energy is largely influenced by oil and natural gas derivatives and the cost of securitized consumer finance (variable rate home mortgages and automobile loans) embodies interest rate derivatives and credit default swaps.

Instead this book recounts the financial debacles which — triggered by the misuse of derivatives — devastated both financial and nonfinancial firms. By presenting a factual analysis of how the malpractice of derivatives played havoc with derivative end-user and dealer institutions, a case is made for vigilance not

29

 

 

only to market and counterparty risk, but also operational risk in their use for risk management and proprietary trading. Clear and recurring lessons across the different stories should be of immediate interest to financial managers, bankers, traders, auditors, and regulators who are directly or indirectly exposed to financial derivatives. The second purpose of this book is more modest: by telling real-life “horror” stories it purports to debunk the mystifying pseudocomplexity of derivatives and to take the uninitiated reader on a “grand tour” of financial engineering and derivatives. Indeed the reader is introduced step by step to real-life companies and the vicissitudes that they experienced in misusing the arcane derivatives.

WHAT ARE DERIVATIVES?

Derivatives are financial contracts, whose value is “derived” from the future price of an underlying asset such as currencies, commodities, interest rates, and stock price indices. Even though each chapter will introduce one specific derivative in much detail, it is helpful at this early stage to provide definitions for the four major families of derivatives, whose architecture is identical across different classes of underlying assets:

Forwards are legally-binding contracts calling for the future delivery of an asset in an amount, at a price and at a date agreed upon today. For example, a 90-day forward purchase of 25 million pound sterling (£) at the forward rate of $1.47 = £1 signed on April 13, 2015 happens in two steps: today, April 13, 2015 a contract is signed spelling out the nature of the transaction (forward purchase of the pound sterling), the amount (£25 million), the price ($1.47), the time of delivery (90 days hence or July 17, 2015) but nothing happens physically beyond the exchange of legal promises. Ninety days later, the contract is executed by delivering £25 × 1.47 = $36.75 million and taking delivery of £25 million. The contract is carried out at the forward rate regardless of the spot price (that is the price prevailing on delivery day) of the pound sterling. Forwards are tailor-made contracts also known as over- the-counter and — as such — expose the signatories to counterparty risk — that is the risk that the other party may default on its delivery obligations. Forwards are available on commodities such as copper or oil and other assets. Forwards will be the “financial weapon of mass destruction” in the

30

 

 

first three chapters involving respectively a major Japanese oil company Showa Shell, Citibank, and Bank Negara — the Central Bank of Malaysia. Futures are close cousins of forward contracts with some material differences. Futures are standardized contracts, whose amount and delivery date are set by an organized exchange: for example, sterling futures can only be delivered in March, June, September, and December (third Wednesday of calendar month) and are available in multiples of £62,500). The lack of flexibility in designing a tailor-made contract (as in the case of forwards) is compensated by the liquidity of the contract, which can be closed at any time before expiry. Because futures are entered with well-capitalized exchanges such as the Chicago Board of Trade or the New York Mercantile Exchange, there is no counterparty risk to be concerned with as the exchange will require any contract holder to post a margin — a form of collateral — which ensures that the contract holder is able to fulfill the terms of the contract at all times regardless of the spot price. Futures will be the “financial weapon of mass destruction” in Chapters 5, 6, and 7 featuring respectively the hedge fund Amaranth Advisors LLC, the German metal- processing and engineering firm Metallgesellschaft and the Japanese trading company Sumitomo. Options are securities which give you the right to buy (call option) or sell (put option) an asset (currency, commodity, stocks, bonds) for an extended period (American option) or at a particular future point in time (European option) at an agreed price today (strike price) for an upfront cash-flow cost (premium). In one of the largest options ever contracted, U.K. company Enterprise Oil Ltd. paid more than $26 million for a 90-day currency option to protect against exchange rate fluctuations on $1.03 billion of the $1.45 billion that it had agreed to pay for the oil exploration and production assets of U.S.-based transportation company Texas Eastern Inc. The option — a dollar call option — gave Enterprise the right to buy dollars at a dollar/sterling rate of $1.70. The dollar/sterling exchange rate was $1.73 when Enterprise Oil bought the option on March 1: “We are bearish on sterling,” says group treasurer Justin Welby. “And we did a very careful calculation between the price of the option premium (which is cheaper the further out-of-the-money) and how much we could afford the dollar to strengthen. We decided that this was the best mix between the amount of protection we could forgo and the amount of upfront cash we were prepared to pay out for the option.1” Ninety days later, the pound stood at $1.7505, which made the call option just about redundant at the modest cost of $26

31

 

 

million for Enterprise Oil Ltd. Options are available not only on currencies, but also on stock price indices, interest rates, and commodities. They are the “financial weapon of mass destruction” in Chapters 8, 9, 10, and 11 featuring respectively Allied Lyons, Barings Bank, Allied Irish Banks, and Société Générale. Swaps are contracts between two parties agreeing to exchange (swap) cash- flows over a determined period. The most common swaps are interest rate swaps — where one party pays a fixed interest rate based on a notional amount and the counter-party pays a floating rate keyed to the same notional amount. Cross-currency and commodity swaps are also common. Mexicana de Cobre — a Mexican copper-mining company — decided to hedge against volatile copper prices on the London Metal Exchange2 to secure medium- term financing at significantly more favorable terms than it was currently paying. It entered into a copper price swap with Metallgesellschaft (one of the leading metal-processing firms) whereby for a period of 3 years it committed to deliver monthly 4,000 metric tons of copper at a guaranteed price of $2,000 per metric ton regardless of the spot price on the world market. In effect the swap was tantamount to a portfolio of 36 forward contracts with maturities ranging from 1 to 36 months at a forward rate of $2,000 per metric ton. Most swaps are over-the-counter rather than exchange-traded. They are the “financial weapons of mass destruction” in Chapters 12, 13, 14, 15, 16 and 17 featuring respectively Procter & Gamble, Gibson Greeting Cards, Orange County, Long-Term Capital Management and last but not least AIG and JP Morgan Chase.

A BRIEF HISTORY OF DERIVATIVES

From immemorial times, traders have been faced with three problems: how to finance the physical transportation of merchandise from point A to point B — perhaps several hundreds or thousands of miles apart and weeks or months away — how to insure the cargo (risk of being lost at sea or to pirates) and last, how to protect against price fluctuations in the value of the cargo across space (from point A to point B) and over time (between shipping and delivery time). In many ways, the history of derivatives contracts parallels the increasingly innovative remedies that traders devised in coping with their predicament.

Ancient Times. Trade carried over great distance is probably as old as

32

 

 

mankind and has long been a source of economic power for the nations which embraced it. Indeed international trade seems to have been at the vanguard of human progress and civilization: Phoenicians, Greeks, and Romans were all great traders, whose activities were facilitated by marketplaces and money changers which set fixed places and fixed times for exchanging goods. Some historians even claim that some form of contracting with future delivery appeared as early as several centuries BC. At about the same time in Babylonia — the cradle of civilization — commerce was primarily effected by means of caravans. Traders bought goods to be delivered in some distant location and sought financing. A risk-sharing agreement was designed whereby merchants- financiers provided a loan to traders, whose repayment was contingent upon safe delivery of the goods. The trader borrowed at a higher cost than ordinary loans would cost to account for the purchase of an “option to default” on the loan contingent upon loss of cargo. As lenders were offering similar options to many traders and thereby pooling their risks they were able to keep its cost affordable.3

Middle Ages. Other forms of early derivatives contracts can be traced to medieval European commerce. After the long decline in commerce following the demise of the Roman Empire, Medieval Europe experienced an economic revival in the twelfth century around two major trading hubs: in Northern Italy, the city-states of Venice and Genoa controlled the trade of silk, spices, and rare metals with the Orient; in Northern Europe, the Flanders (Holland and Belgium) had long been known for their fine cloth, lumber, salt fish, and metalware. It was only natural that trade would flourish between these two complementary economic regions and somehow, as early as the 1100s, Reims and Troyes in Champagne (Eastern France) held trade fairs, which facilitated their mercantile activity: there, traders would find money changers, storage facilities, and most importantly protection provided by the Counts of Champagne. Soon rules of commercial engagement started to emerge as disputes between traders hailing from as far-away as Scandinavia or Russia had to be settled: a code of commercial law — known as “law merchant” — enforceable by the “courts of the fair” was progressively developed. Although most transactions were completed on a spot basis “an innovation of the medieval fairs was the use of a document called the “lettre de faire” as a forward contract which specified the delivery of goods at a later date.”4

In 1298, a Genoese merchant by the name of Benedetto Zaccharia was selling 30 tons of alum5 for delivery from Aigues Mortes (Provence) to Bruges

33

 

 

(Flanders).6 Maritime voyage around Spain and the Atlantic coast of France was then hazardous and fraught with dangers: the cargo could be lost at sea or to pirates. Zaccharia found two compatriot financiers Enrico Zuppa and Baliano Grilli, who would assume the risk. Here is how it worked: Zaccharia sold “spot”7 the alum to Zuppa and Grilli and entered into a forward repurchase contract contingent upon physical delivery. The repurchase price was significantly higher than the spot price in Aigues Mortes. It reflected the cost of physical carry from Aigues Mortes to Bruges (several months at sea), insurance against loss of cargo and the option to default granted to Zaccharia in the case of nondelivery. The merchant Zaccharia had secured financing and insurance in the form of a forward contingent contract.

Renaissance. If medieval fairs had gone a long way in establishing the standards for specifying the grading and inspection process of commodities being traded as well as date and location for delivery of goods, it fell short of the modern concept of futures traded on centralized exchanges. The first organized futures exchange was the Dojima rice market in Osaka (Japan), which flourished from the early 1700s to World War II. It grew out of the need of feudal landlords whose income was primarily based on unsteady rice crops to cope with a growing money economy. By shipping surplus rice to Osaka and Edo, landlords were able to raise cash by selling warehouse receipts of their rice inventory in exchange for other goods on sale in other cities. Merchants who purchased these warehouse receipts soon found themselves lending to cash- short landlords against future rice crops. In 1730, an edict by Yoshimune — also known as the “rice Shogun” — established futures trading in rice at the Dojima market apparently in an effort to stem the secular decline in rice prices. It certainly allowed rice farmers to hedge against price fluctuations between harvests. Interestingly, all the hallmarks of modern standardized futures contract were found in the Dojima rice futures market8: each contract was set at 100 koku9 and contract durations were set according to trimester trading calendars consisting of a spring semester (January 8–April 28), summer term (May 7– October 9), and a winter term (October 17–December 24). All trades were entered in the “book” transaction system, where the names of the contracting parties, amount of rice exchanged, futures price, and terms of delivery were recorded. Transactions were cash-settled (delivery of physical rice was not necessary) at the close of the trading term. Money changers soon functioned as clearinghouses de facto eliminating the counterparty risk by forcing margin requirements on individual rice traders, which were marked-to-market every 10

 
"Looking for a Similar Assignment? Get Expert Help at an Amazing Discount!"